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NBA player comparison

Michael Phelps vs. Willie Green: Career comparison

hussEyquationShort-career comparison
Regular-season verdict

Willie Green ranks higher in career impact

Impact comparison

Box impact estimates points per 100 possessions above each season's league average. Higher is better. Career ranks and average league finishes work the other way: lower is better.

#2250Career Impact RankPeak-weighted regular-season rank#1916Leads
-3.6Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.1Leads
-3.8Average box impact to dateEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-2.5Leads
#228Best league finish#144Leads
-53 ptsLeadsPoints above replacementCumulative regular-season value-134 pts
132Games731Leads

Career Impact Rank places Willie Green #1916 and Michael Phelps #2250. It combines league finishes across each player's best three, five, and ten regular seasons, giving the most weight to the best three. Michael Phelps had more total career value.

Regular season only. Impact figures are estimates; small gaps are not exact. Playoffs, awards and titles do not determine the verdict.

Short-career comparisonhusseyquation.com/compare/michael-phelps/willie-green/career
Career Impact RankSee exactly how both rankings are calculatedMichael Phelps243.433 · No. 2,250Willie Green207.147 · No. 1,916

Only the three league-finish windows below determine Career Impact Rank. Career Value and peak impact are separate measures; neither adds points to this calculation. Lower composite scores rank higher.

Michael Phelps

243.433 composite · No. 2,250 all-time

Michael Phelps's Career Composite windows
Window and finishes usedAverage finishWeightContribution
Best 3No. 2281986–87Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2311985–86Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate1 open slot × No. 257238.66750%119.333
Best 5No. 2281986–87Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2311985–86Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate3 open slots × No. 257246.00030%73.800
Best 10No. 2281986–87Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2311985–86Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate8 open slots × No. 257251.50020%50.300

119.333 + 73.800 + 50.300= 243.433

Open-season rule: every unfilled slot uses No. 257, this player's stored replacement finish.

Willie Green

207.147 composite · No. 1,916 all-time

Willie Green's Career Composite windows
Window and finishes usedAverage finishWeightContribution
Best 3No. 1442011–12Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1992007–08Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2222012–13Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate188.33350%94.167
Best 5No. 1442011–12Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1992007–08Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2222012–13Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2242009–10Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2382008–09Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate205.40030%61.620
Best 10No. 1442011–12Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1992007–08Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2222012–13Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2242009–10Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2382008–09Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2872010–11Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 3002003–04Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 3122006–07Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 3132004–05Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 3292013–14Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate256.80020%51.360

94.167 + 61.620 + 51.360= 207.147

Averages, contributions, and totals are displayed to three decimal places. The ranking calculation keeps full source precision. Read the full method →

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Full comparison · Career comparison

Understand the numbers

Start with impact, then compare playing time and skills. Team results add context. These are not categories to tally into a winner.

1 · Ranking evidence

Impact: who ranks higher, and why?

Career Impact Rank compares entire regular-season careers across NBA history. It combines average league places across the best three, five, and ten seasons, weighted 50%, 30%, and 20%. A lower rank or average place is better.

Impact: Michael Phelps and Willie Green
MetricMichael PhelpsWillie Green
Career Impact RankPeak-weighted regular-season rank#2250#1916Better result for this metric.
Best 3 average finishAverage league place · lower is better238.7188.3Better result for this metric.
Best 5 average finishAverage league place · lower is better246.0205.4Better result for this metric.
Best 10 average finishAverage league place · lower is better251.5Better result for this metric.256.8
Show more stats: Impact
Impact: Michael Phelps and Willie Green
MetricMichael PhelpsWillie Green
Points-above-replacement rankAll-time rank in estimated regular-season points above replacement#4183Better result for this metric.#4625
Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-3.6+0.1Better result for this metric.
Best 3 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is betterUnavailable-0.8
Best 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is betterUnavailable-1.1
Best 10 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is betterUnavailable-2.4
Points above replacementRegular season · fixed -2.0 replacement baseline · higher is better-53 ptsBetter result for this metric.-134 pts
Seasons ranked No. 100
Top-five impact seasons00
Top-ten impact seasons00

2 · Playing time and responsibility

How much did each player take on?

Read games and minutes alongside impact. Offensive usage is the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on court. More usage is not automatically better.

Playing time and workload: Michael Phelps and Willie Green
MetricMichael PhelpsWillie Green
Games132731
Minutes1,37214,783

3 · Individual skills

Where does each player have an advantage?

These are each player's averages across up to ten best seasons. Career Impact Rank gives the Best 3, Best 5, and Best 10 average league finishes 50%, 30%, and 20% window weights, giving the most weight to the highest peak. The model accounts for position, role, pace, playing time, and team results. Green marks the better result for a metric, including lower turnover rates. Workload and shot-selection measures stay neutral. These rows are not votes toward the ranking.

Shooting

True shooting includes two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws.

Shooting: Michael Phelps and Willie Green
MetricMichael PhelpsWillie Green
True shooting percentage45.0%49.8%Better result for this metric.
True shootingAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile45.2%50.3%Better result for this metric.
Show more stats: Shooting
Shooting: Michael Phelps and Willie Green
MetricMichael PhelpsWillie Green
Field-goal percentage41.6%42.5%Better result for this metric.
Three-point percentage9.1%34.6%Better result for this metric.
Free-throw percentage63.9%76.5%Better result for this metric.

Passing

Assist rate is the share of teammates’ made shots assisted while the player is on court. Read turnovers alongside offensive workload; lower turnover rate is generally better.

Passing: Michael Phelps and Willie Green
MetricMichael PhelpsWillie Green
Assist rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile14.9%Better result for this metric.11.7%
Assists per game1.01.4Better result for this metric.
Show more stats: Passing
Passing: Michael Phelps and Willie Green
MetricMichael PhelpsWillie Green
Turnover rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile15.2%10.4%Better result for this metric.

Rebounding

Rebound rate is the share of available rebounds collected while on court.

Rebounding: Michael Phelps and Willie Green
MetricMichael PhelpsWillie Green
Rebound rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile5.9%Better result for this metric.5.2%
Rebounds per game1.11.8Better result for this metric.

Defense

Steals and blocks describe only part of defense. They do not capture every stop, rotation, or matchup.

Defense: Michael Phelps and Willie Green
MetricMichael PhelpsWillie Green
Steal rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile2.3%Better result for this metric.1.4%
Show more stats: Defense
Defense: Michael Phelps and Willie Green
MetricMichael PhelpsWillie Green
Block rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile0.2%0.6%Better result for this metric.

Scoring

Points per game describe scoring volume, not overall impact.

Scoring: Michael Phelps and Willie Green
MetricMichael PhelpsWillie Green
Points per game3.68.3Better result for this metric.

4 · Team context, not ranking inputs

What happened with and without them?

A verified with/without comparison is unavailable for this scope. We do not substitute another season’s observations.

Four separate questions

Impact, winning, playoffs, and awards

These are different ways to understand a career. Only Regular Season Impact determines the hussEyquation verdict. The other three sections add basketball context without adding points or changing the rank.

Ranking result

Regular Season Impact

Willie Green ranks higher in career impact.

Michael PhelpsMetricWillie Green
#2250Career Impact RankPeak-weighted regular-season rank#1916Leads
-3.6Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.1Leads
Not availableBest 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-1.1
-53 ptsLeadsPoints above replacementRegular season · fixed -2.0 replacement baseline · higher is better-134 pts

This is the ranking result. It uses regular-season impact only. Team records, playoffs, and awards do not change it.

Context

Team Success

Willie Green leads every available measure below.

Michael PhelpsMetricWillie Green
87Listed-team regular-season wins481Leads
35.4%Listed-team winning percentage49.7%Leads
050-win team seasons2Leads
060-win team seasons0
1Playoff team seasons7Leads

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.

Context

Playoff Résumé

No recorded measure separates these careers.

Michael PhelpsMetricWillie Green
Not availablePlayoff appearances7
Not availablePlayoff games36
Not availableTeam playoff wins17
Not availableFinals appearances0
Not availableChampionships0

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team playoff results count only seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.

Context

Awards

No recorded measure separates these careers.

Michael PhelpsMetricWillie Green
Not availableAll-StarNot available
Not availableMVPNot available
Not availableAll-NBANot available
Not availableAll-DefenseNot available
Not availableDPOYNot available
Not availableRookie of the YearNot available

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Major regular-season honors are recognition, not inputs to the impact ranking.

How each context field is counted
Listed-team regular-season wins
The sum of each listed team's final wins in every season the player represented that team.
Listed-team winning percentage
Those team wins divided by those teams' total regular-season games.
50- and 60-win team seasons
Listed team-seasons that finished with at least 50 or 60 wins. Shortened seasons are not projected to 82 games.
Team seasons reaching playoffs
Listed team-seasons in which that team qualified for the playoffs.
Playoff appearances and games
Postseasons and games in which the player appeared.
Team playoff wins
Team wins from those postseasons. They describe team results, not individual credit.
Finals appearances and championships
Seasons when the player appeared in the playoffs for the finalist or champion.
Awards
Recorded NBA selections and major regular-season honors. A zero means the source records none; Not available means the source field is missing.

Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed 2026-10-09.

Career Shape Explorer

How the careers developed

Follow every regular season by NBA experience or age. This view describes the path; it does not create another verdict.

View
Align careers by
Michael PhelpsWillie GreenPeak seasonHistorical source qualification

Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average

S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S6
S7
S8
S9
S10
S11
S12

Striped bars mark seasons with fewer than 40 games. A dashed mark means that player had no season at the aligned point.

S means NBA season number; A means player age. Peak labels identify each player's accepted best season. Hover or focus any pair for season detail, or open Season timeline for the complete evidence ledger.