hussEyquation
Explore rankings
Last updated Sep 3, 2026
Exploratory projection2025–26 snapshot

Projected career arcs

Top 50 Players Trending Up

Which young players have the strongest three-season outlook? This research ranking combines current impact, recent development, workload and the future peaks reached by similar players in NBA history.

50 players3-season horizon80 analogs per player27 maximum age
Research preview

This is a forward-looking career-arc model—not the official Impact Rate leaderboard. Arc Score is a comparative projection, and Analog Fit describes how tightly the historical comparisons agree.

Read the method

The ranking

Projected Peak is the model's three-season best Impact estimate. Projected Gain is the improvement from the player's current Impact estimate to that peak.

Swipe horizontally to see the complete projection.

RankPlayerArc ScoreCurrent ImpactProjected PeakProjected GainAnalog Fit
1Cooper FlaggDAL · Age 19 · 2,344 MP94.9+1.69+4.40+2.71Medium
2Kon KnueppelCHO · Age 20 · 2,551 MP91.9+1.91+4.05+2.14Medium
3VJ EdgecombePHI · Age 20 · 2,623 MP91.0-0.27+3.12+3.40Low
4Victor WembanyamaSAS · Age 22 · 1,866 MP86.5+9.10+10.08+0.98Low
5Donovan ClinganPOR · Age 21 · 2,094 MP86.4+2.74+4.05+1.31Medium
6Brandin PodziemskiGSW · Age 22 · 2,333 MP86.3+0.91+2.90+1.99Low
7Reed SheppardHOU · Age 21 · 2,147 MP85.4+2.29+3.58+1.29Low
8Alperen ŞengünHOU · Age 23 · 2,398 MP84.8+3.80+4.74+0.94Medium
9Dyson DanielsATL · Age 22 · 2,520 MP84.3+1.68+3.10+1.42Medium
10Dylan HarperSAS · Age 19 · 1,558 MP84.0+0.11+2.45+2.33Low
11Anthony EdwardsMIN · Age 24 · 2,137 MP81.2+3.89+4.64+0.75Low
12Collin Murray-BoylesTOR · Age 20 · 1,246 MP80.6+0.97+2.58+1.61Medium
13Josh GiddeyCHI · Age 23 · 1,731 MP80.6+3.56+4.37+0.81Low
14Stephon CastleSAS · Age 21 · 2,038 MP78.5+0.42+2.08+1.66Low
15Scottie BarnesTOR · Age 24 · 2,681 MP78.4+4.07+4.59+0.52Medium
16Cade CunninghamDET · Age 24 · 2,172 MP78.0+4.71+5.03+0.32Low
17Luka DončićLAL · Age 26 · 2,289 MP77.7+8.48+8.76+0.28Low
18Egor DёminBRK · Age 19 · 1,308 MP77.3-0.40+1.89+2.28Medium
19Jalen DurenDET · Age 22 · 1,976 MP76.3+3.85+4.29+0.44Medium
20Alex SarrWAS · Age 20 · 1,305 MP76.0+2.09+3.02+0.93Low
21Jeremiah FearsNOP · Age 19 · 2,112 MP75.9-1.62+1.32+2.94Medium
22Cedric CowardMEM · Age 22 · 1,598 MP75.9+0.49+2.02+1.53Low
23Derik QueenNOP · Age 21 · 2,023 MP75.7+0.42+1.88+1.45Medium
24Sandro MamukelashviliTOR · Age 26 · 1,751 MP75.5+3.09+3.59+0.50Low
25Kel'el WareMIA · Age 21 · 1,704 MP74.2+1.94+2.71+0.77High
26Matas BuzelisCHI · Age 21 · 2,248 MP72.5+0.00+1.51+1.51High
27Kasparas JakučionisMIA · Age 19 · 945 MP71.5-0.27+1.61+1.88Medium
28Cam SpencerMEM · Age 25 · 1,714 MP70.7+3.13+3.30+0.17Low
29Keyonte GeorgeUTA · Age 22 · 1,786 MP70.3+2.32+2.73+0.40Medium
30Ausar ThompsonDET · Age 23 · 1,896 MP69.8+1.81+2.39+0.58Medium
31Day'Ron SharpeBRK · Age 24 · 1,160 MP69.0+2.91+3.19+0.28Medium
32Chet HolmgrenOKC · Age 23 · 1,997 MP68.9+2.46+2.71+0.24Medium
33Ryan RollinsMIL · Age 23 · 2,376 MP68.8+0.97+1.85+0.88Medium
34Jalen SuggsORL · Age 24 · 1,574 MP68.3+1.94+2.43+0.49Medium
35Kyle FilipowskiUTA · Age 22 · 1,801 MP67.2+0.59+1.58+1.00High
36Tre JonesCHI · Age 26 · 1,752 MP66.9+2.14+2.43+0.30High
37Ja'Kobe WalterTOR · Age 21 · 1,474 MP65.1-0.24+1.09+1.33Medium
38Onyeka OkongwuATL · Age 25 · 2,297 MP62.7+1.25+1.73+0.47Medium
39Austin ReavesLAL · Age 27 · 1,762 MP62.6+2.09+2.10+0.02High
40Ryan KalkbrennerCHO · Age 24 · 1,479 MP61.4+0.90+1.52+0.63High
41Isaiah CollierUTA · Age 21 · 1,517 MP61.4-0.76+0.64+1.40Medium
42Brandon MillerCHO · Age 23 · 1,968 MP61.1+0.76+1.34+0.58Medium
43Bilal CoulibalyWAS · Age 21 · 1,468 MP60.8-0.09+0.95+1.03Medium
44Will RileyWAS · Age 19 · 1,633 MP60.5-2.40+0.26+2.66Medium
45Anthony BlackORL · Age 22 · 1,910 MP60.0-0.69+0.58+1.27Medium
46Asa NewellATL · Age 20 · 500 MP59.8-0.80+0.72+1.52Low
47Julian ChampagnieSAS · Age 24 · 2,266 MP59.6+0.04+0.91+0.86High
48Moussa DiabatéCHO · Age 24 · 1,899 MP58.4+0.73+1.22+0.49High
49Ajay MitchellOKC · Age 23 · 1,473 MP58.1+0.16+0.95+0.79High
50Yves MissiNOP · Age 21 · 1,297 MP57.5-0.79+0.50+1.29Medium