2026–27 preseason projection

NBA Team Power Rankings

How strong does each current roster look entering next season?

Season

30 teamsRosters as of Oct 1, 202682-game availability forecast25,000 uncertainty simulations

2026–27 Preseason Power Ranking

Completed 2025–26 player impact, projected roles and expected games—then checked against what each returning team actually delivered.

30 teams · league-average projected rating is 50

The core rank band is the tightest range containing 68% of 25,000 historically calibrated outcomes. A broader 80% range appears inside each team.

Swipe for more team stats →


1	OKCOklahoma City Thunder	6962–80 likely	72.9	#1–#3high confidence · 96% top 10	93%	2	3	6
2	SASSan Antonio Spurs	5850–69 likely	63.5	#1–#8high confidence · 80% top 10	91%	1	1	5
3	DENDenver Nuggets	5645–67 likely	62.0	#1–#11medium confidence · 64% top 10	69%	2	2	3
4	TORToronto Raptors	5443–66 likely	60.5	#1–#12medium confidence · 58% top 10	73%	2	2	3
5	BOSBoston Celtics	5443–65 likely	60.5	#2–#14medium confidence · 58% top 10	75%	2	4	6
6	HOUHouston Rockets	5343–65 likely	59.9	#2–#14medium confidence · 56% top 10	75%	2	3	5
7	DETDetroit Pistons	5241–63 likely	58.6	#3–#16medium confidence · 51% top 10	74%	1	2	5
8	CLECleveland Cavaliers	5244–63 likely	58.5	#2–#12high confidence · 65% top 10	84%	2	5	6
9	NYKNew York Knicks	5042–61 likely	56.9	#3–#14high confidence · 59% top 10	92%	1	3	5
10	PHIPhiladelphia 76ers	4633–57 likely	54.2	#5–#21low confidence · 36% top 10	49%	2	2	4
11	CHACharlotte Hornets	4434–56 likely	52.6	#7–#23medium confidence · 33% top 10	62%	0	1	4
12	MIAMiami Heat	4433–56 likely	52.5	#7–#23medium confidence · 33% top 10	52%	1	2	2
13	LALLos Angeles Lakers	4431–55 likely	52.5	#6–#23low confidence · 31% top 10	46%	1	4	4
14	ATLAtlanta Hawks	4433–55 likely	52.3	#7–#23medium confidence · 32% top 10	72%	0	2	4
15	ORLOrlando Magic	4436–55 likely	52.3	#5–#18high confidence · 43% top 10	90%	0	1	5
16	GSWGolden State Warriors	4431–54 likely	52.2	#7–#23low confidence · 30% top 10	93%	2	3	5
17	PORPortland Trail Blazers	4333–55 likely	51.9	#7–#23medium confidence · 31% top 10	78%	0	3	4
18	MINMinnesota Timberwolves	4130–53 likely	50.0	#9–#25medium confidence · 27% top 10	66%	2	2	3
19	PHXPhoenix Suns	4130–52 likely	49.9	#9–#25medium confidence · 27% top 10	70%	1	2	2
20	DALDallas Mavericks	3423–45 likely	44.2	#14–#28medium confidence · 15% top 10	61%	0	0	0
21	MILMilwaukee Bucks	3221–43 likely	42.5	#18–#30medium confidence · 13% top 10	61%	0	0	2
22	INDIndiana Pacers	3120–42 likely	41.7	#17–#29medium confidence · 12% top 10	73%	0	1	2
23	NOPNew Orleans Pelicans	3023–41 likely	41.2	#14–#26high confidence · 9% top 10	82%	0	1	2
24	CHIChicago Bulls	3019–41 likely	41.0	#17–#29medium confidence · 11% top 10	63%	0	1	4
25	MEMMemphis Grizzlies	2918–40 likely	40.1	#19–#30medium confidence · 9% top 10	59%	1	1	3
26	LACLA Clippers	2918–40 likely	40.1	#19–#30medium confidence · 9% top 10	56%	0	0	0
27	UTAUtah Jazz	2615–38 likely	37.9	#21–#30medium confidence · 6% top 10	89%	1	1	2
28	BKNBrooklyn Nets	2110–32 likely	33.4	#23–#30medium confidence · 2% top 10	66%	1	1	1
29	WASWashington Wizards	199–31 likely	32.4	#24–#30medium confidence · 1% top 10	67%	0	1	2
30	SACSacramento Kings	1811–29 likely	31.7	#23–#30high confidence · 2% top 10	83%	0	0	1

How the projection works

Roster talent, expected availability and recent team results.

This is an offseason estimate. It will move as rosters, injuries and roles change.

Current rosters

NBA.com team pages and reported offseason moves are checked through Oct 1, 2026.

Player strength

Returning players use completed 2025–26 full Impact, including bounded lineup context. Rookies and injury returns are clearly labeled estimates.

Expected games

Recent availability, role and age estimate how much of the healthy rotation each player is likely to deliver.

Team reality check

When a returning roster's talent and actual results disagree, part of that gap carries forward instead of disappearing.

Calibrated rank bands

Historical strength errors set the range. Stable rosters receive tighter evidence than teams with churn, availability risk, or major rookie roles.

Read the range, not just the rank. The core range is the smallest contiguous interval containing 68% of 25,000 historically calibrated outcomes. On the untouched 2021–26 test, it covered 65.0% of teams with a median width of 12 places. Projected wins translate Team Rating to an 82-game schedule using the typical win spread from 16 completed seasons; they are not a separate schedule simulation. It forecasts expected games, not a game-by-game injury calendar, and does not yet enforce positional lineup constraints.

NBA history by team

The 25 greatest players for every NBA franchise

Explore a team-specific top 25 based on the regular-season value each player produced for that franchise—not his value for other teams.