2026–27 preseason projection

NBA Team Power Rankings

How strong does each current roster look entering next season?

Season

30 teamsRosters as of Jul 26, 202682-game availability forecast2,000 uncertainty simulations

2026–27 Preseason Power Ranking

Completed 2025–26 player impact, projected roles and expected games—then checked against what each returning team actually delivered.

30 teams · league-average projected rating is 50

Likely rank reflects the middle 68% of 2,000 simulated outcomes. A broader 80% range appears inside each team.

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Rank	Team	Team Rating	Likely rank (68%)	Returning minutes	Impact Top 25	Impact Top 50	Impact Top 100
1	OKCOklahoma City Thunder	72.4	#1–#7	96%	2	3	6
2	BOSBoston Celtics	63.8	#2–#13	77%	2	4	7
3	SASSan Antonio Spurs	62.0	#2–#14	89%	1	1	6
4	NYKNew York Knicks	60.2	#3–#16	95%	1	3	5
5	DETDetroit Pistons	59.0	#3–#16	71%	1	2	5
6	HOUHouston Rockets	59.0	#3–#17	73%	2	3	4
7	CLECleveland Cavaliers	57.3	#4–#19	100%	1	4	5
8	DENDenver Nuggets	56.7	#6–#21	94%	2	2	3
9	MIAMiami Heat	56.2	#4–#19	70%	1	2	2
10	MINMinnesota Timberwolves	55.1	#4–#20	81%	2	2	4
11	LALLos Angeles Lakers	55.0	#6–#22	42%	1	4	5
12	ORLOrlando Magic	53.4	#5–#20	90%	0	1	5
13	PHIPhiladelphia 76ers	53.3	#6–#22	47%	2	2	4
14	GSWGolden State Warriors	53.3	#8–#22	100%	2	3	5
15	CHACharlotte Hornets	52.8	#6–#21	68%	0	1	4
16	PORPortland Trail Blazers	52.2	#6–#21	78%	0	3	4
17	TORToronto Raptors	51.2	#7–#23	92%	1	1	2
18	ATLAtlanta Hawks	51.1	#8–#24	69%	0	2	4
19	PHXPhoenix Suns	50.8	#6–#22	76%	2	3	3
20	LACLA Clippers	48.3	#8–#24	84%	1	1	1
21	DALDallas Mavericks	44.6	#11–#25	75%	0	0	0
22	CHIChicago Bulls	41.8	#14–#28	74%	0	1	4
23	INDIndiana Pacers	40.6	#15–#27	80%	0	1	2
24	NOPNew Orleans Pelicans	40.6	#15–#28	95%	0	1	2
25	MILMilwaukee Bucks	37.4	#17–#29	73%	0	0	2
26	MEMMemphis Grizzlies	37.1	#16–#28	66%	0	0	2
27	BKNBrooklyn Nets	34.3	#18–#29	73%	1	1	1
28	UTAUtah Jazz	34.1	#21–#29	100%	1	1	2
29	SACSacramento Kings	33.7	#21–#29	96%	0	0	1
30	WASWashington Wizards	32.8	#22–#30	76%	0	1	2

How the projection works

Roster talent, expected availability and recent team results.

This is an offseason estimate. It will move as rosters, injuries and roles change.

Current rosters

NBA.com team pages and reported offseason moves are checked through Jul 26, 2026.

Player strength

Returning players use completed 2025–26 full Impact, including bounded lineup context. Rookies and injury returns are clearly labeled estimates.

Expected games

Recent availability, role and age estimate how much of the healthy rotation each player is likely to deliver.

Team reality check

When a returning roster's talent and actual results disagree, part of that gap carries forward instead of disappearing.

Read the range, not just the rank. The likely range contains the middle 68% of 2,000 simulations. The availability-aware model improved both record-rank and point-differential correlation in its untouched 2021–26 test. It forecasts expected games, not a game-by-game injury calendar, and does not yet enforce positional lineup constraints.