Ace Bailey
2025–26
72 games · 1,988 minutes
NBA player comparison
Ace Bailey vs. Patrick Williams: 2025–26 season
Regular-season verdict
Ace Bailey leads in impact for 2025–26
Ace Bailey ranks ahead of Patrick Williams in estimated impact while playing. This compares regular-season performance, not total contribution across the season.
Patrick Williams
2025–26
72 games · 1,474 minutes
Impact comparison
Impact estimate is measured in points per 100 possessions above league average. Zero is average; higher is better. Impact Rate rank is a league place, not a 0–100 score: No. 1 is best.
-0.9LeadsImpact estimateEstimated points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-1.3
#370LeadsImpact Rate rankLeague place · No. 1 is best#381
-1.92Estimated defensive impactSelected-season lineup estimate · points per 100 possessions-0.58Leads
-1.54LeadsEstimated offensive impactSelected-season lineup estimate · points per 100 possessions-4.45
1.4%Steal rate1.6%Leads
10.3%LeadsTurnover rateLower is better; compare alongside offensive workload12.8%
21.4%Offensive usage16.6%
53.3%LeadsTrue shooting %49.4%
9.7%LeadsAssist rateShare of teammates’ made shots assisted while on court9.4%
8.2%LeadsRebound rateShare of available rebounds collected while on court7.7%
72Games72
1,988Minutes1,474
Ace Bailey's estimated impact per 100 possessions was -0.9, compared with -1.3 for Patrick Williams. This compares their impact while playing, not their total contribution across the season. Both players are compared in the 2025–26 season using its published Impact Rate. A ranked comparison requires at least 450 minutes for each player.
Ace Bailey: 72 games and 1,988 minutes. Patrick Williams: 72 games and 1,474 minutes. Playing time matters when judging the whole season; the impact estimate above is a rate, not a season total.
Ace Bailey ended a larger share of his team’s possessions, so the turnover rates are not an equal-workload comparison. Offensive usage measures the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on the court—not every touch, pass, or act of playmaking. These rows provide context; they are not extra points added to the ranking.
Regular season only. Impact figures are estimates; small gaps are not exact. Playoffs, awards and titles do not determine the verdict.
Behind the estimate
Why the model rates them this way
The model starts with each player’s recorded individual stats, then adjusts that estimate using lineup results. The first two rows add up to the final estimate. All figures are points per 100 possessions.
Ace BaileyMetricPatrick Williams
-0.30LeadsFrom recorded individual stats-0.64
-0.61LeadsAdjustment from recent lineup results-0.63
-0.91LeadsFinal estimated impact-1.28
Lineup evidence: Ace Bailey — 1 season; Patrick Williams — 3 seasons. This adjustment is not necessarily based on the selected season alone.
Offensive and defensive lineup estimates for the selected season
These selected-season estimates account for who played alongside and against each player. Positive means better than average; a positive defensive figure means fewer points allowed. They are separate estimates—not additional points added to the calculation above. They do not measure how much individual teammates improved.
Ace BaileyMetricPatrick Williams
-1.54LeadsAdjusted offensive impact-4.45
-1.92Adjusted defensive impact-0.58Leads
What this does not establish: these figures do not prove that either player made his teammates shoot better. A verified teammate-shooting comparison is unavailable for this selected season. A small difference in the estimates is not a decisive basketball distinction.
Full comparison · 2025–26 season
Understand the numbers
Start with impact, then compare playing time and skills. Team results add context. These are not categories to tally into a winner.
1 · Ranking evidence
Impact: who ranks higher, and why?
The impact estimate compares performance while playing, not total contribution over the season. The individual-stat estimate plus the lineup adjustment gives the final estimate.
| Metric | Ace Bailey | Patrick Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Impact estimateEstimated points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better | -0.9Better result for this metric. | -1.3 |
| Impact Rate rankLeague place · No. 1 is best | #370Better result for this metric. | #381 |
| From recorded individual stats | -0.30Better result for this metric. | -0.64 |
| Adjustment from recent lineup results | -0.61Better result for this metric. | -0.63 |
Ace Bailey: 1 season of lineup evidence. Patrick Williams: 3 seasons of lineup evidence. The adjustment is not necessarily based on this season alone.
Show more stats: Impact
| Metric | Ace Bailey | Patrick Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Final estimated impact | -0.91Better result for this metric. | -1.28 |
2 · Playing time and responsibility
How much did each player take on?
Read games and minutes alongside impact. Offensive usage is the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on court. More usage is not automatically better.
| Metric | Ace Bailey | Patrick Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 72 | 72 |
| Minutes | 1,988 | 1,474 |
| Offensive usage | 21.4% | 16.6% |
3 · Individual skills
Where does each player have an advantage?
These figures describe the selected regular seasons. They provide context, not extra points added to the verdict. Green marks the better result for a metric, including lower turnover rates. Workload and shot-selection measures stay neutral. These rows are not votes toward the ranking.
Shooting
True shooting includes two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws.
| Metric | Ace Bailey | Patrick Williams |
|---|---|---|
| True shooting percentage | 53.3%Better result for this metric. | 49.4% |
Show more stats: Shooting
| Metric | Ace Bailey | Patrick Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Field-goal percentage | 44.3%Better result for this metric. | 37.2% |
| Three-point percentage | 34.4% | 34.7%Better result for this metric. |
| Free-throw percentage | 75.0%Better result for this metric. | 72.0% |
| Three-point attempt rateShare of field-goal attempts taken from three; describes shot selection, not quality | 44.6% | 57.3% |
Passing
Assist rate is the share of teammates’ made shots assisted while the player is on court. Read turnovers alongside offensive workload; lower turnover rate is generally better.
| Metric | Ace Bailey | Patrick Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Assist rateShare of teammates’ made shots assisted while on court | 9.7%Better result for this metric. | 9.4% |
| Assists per game | 1.8Better result for this metric. | 1.5 |
Show more stats: Passing
| Metric | Ace Bailey | Patrick Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Turnover rateLower is better; compare alongside offensive workload | 10.3%Better result for this metric. | 12.8% |
Rebounding
Rebound rate is the share of available rebounds collected while on court.
| Metric | Ace Bailey | Patrick Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Rebound rateShare of available rebounds collected while on court | 8.2%Better result for this metric. | 7.7% |
| Rebounds per game | 4.2Better result for this metric. | 3.0 |
Defense
Steals and blocks describe only part of defense. They do not capture every stop, rotation, or matchup.
| Metric | Ace Bailey | Patrick Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Steal rate | 1.4% | 1.6%Better result for this metric. |
Show more stats: Defense
| Metric | Ace Bailey | Patrick Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Block rateShare of opponents’ two-point attempts blocked while on court | 2.4%Better result for this metric. | 1.5% |
Scoring
Points per game describe scoring volume, not overall impact.
| Metric | Ace Bailey | Patrick Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 13.8Better result for this metric. | 7.0 |
4 · Team context, not ranking inputs
What happened with and without them?
A verified with/without comparison is unavailable for this scope. We do not substitute another season’s observations.
Selected-season adjusted lineup estimates
These account for who played alongside and against each player. Positive defense means fewer points allowed. They are separate from the observed results and are not additional points added to the model calculation.
| Metric | Ace Bailey | Patrick Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted offensive impact | -1.54Better result for this metric. | -4.45 |
| Adjusted defensive impact | -1.92 | -0.58Better result for this metric. |
Four separate questions
Impact, winning, playoffs, and awards
These are different ways to understand a career. Only Regular Season Impact determines the hussEyquation verdict. The other three sections add basketball context without adding points or changing the rank.
Career to date. At least one player is active. Every total below stops after the latest completed season in this data; nothing is projected.
Regular Season Impact
Ace Bailey leads in impact for 2025–26.
Ace BaileyMetricPatrick Williams
-0.9LeadsImpact estimateEstimated points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-1.3
#370LeadsImpact Rate rankLeague place · No. 1 is best#381
This is the ranking result. It uses regular-season impact only. Team records, playoffs, and awards do not change it.
Team Success
Patrick Williams leads every available measure below.
Ace BaileyMetricPatrick Williams
22Listed-team regular-season wins226Leads
26.8%Listed-team winning percentage46.9%Leads
050-win team seasons0
060-win team seasons0
0Playoff team seasons1Leads
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.
Playoff Résumé
No recorded measure separates these careers.
Ace BaileyMetricPatrick Williams
Not availablePlayoff appearances1
Not availablePlayoff games5
Not availableTeam playoff wins1
Not availableFinals appearances0
Not availableChampionships0
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team playoff results count only seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.
Awards
No recorded measure separates these careers.
Ace BaileyMetricPatrick Williams
Not availableAll-StarNot available
Not availableMVPNot available
Not availableAll-NBANot available
Not availableAll-DefenseNot available
Not availableDPOYNot available
Not availableRookie of the YearNot available
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Major regular-season honors are recognition, not inputs to the impact ranking.
How each context field is counted
- Listed-team regular-season wins
- The sum of each listed team's final wins in every season the player represented that team.
- Listed-team winning percentage
- Those team wins divided by those teams' total regular-season games.
- 50- and 60-win team seasons
- Listed team-seasons that finished with at least 50 or 60 wins. Shortened seasons are not projected to 82 games.
- Team seasons reaching playoffs
- Listed team-seasons in which that team qualified for the playoffs.
- Playoff appearances and games
- Postseasons and games in which the player appeared.
- Team playoff wins
- Team wins from those postseasons. They describe team results, not individual credit.
- Finals appearances and championships
- Seasons when the player appeared in the playoffs for the finalist or champion.
- Awards
- Recorded NBA selections and major regular-season honors. A zero means the source records none; Not available means the source field is missing.
Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed 2026-10-09. Active-career totals are results to date through the latest completed season in the source.
Selected seasons
Box impact
Both bars show the same NBA season. Missing or unqualified data does not establish a winner.
Ace BaileyPatrick Williams
Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average