3.2 score · 97% MPG role factor
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Player profile · UTA
Ace Bailey
Ace Bailey advanced stats and career rankings
RoleSF · Age 19
Availability72 games · 61 starts
Workload27.6 MPG · 1,988 minutes
Relative impactUTA #11 of 12 · SF #67 of 68
UpdatedJul 21, 2026
-45.7 total value · 395 qualified players
98.7 all-time composite · 1 seasons
Low ranking precision · Likely rank #136–#384
Bottom line · 2025–26
In 2025–26, Ace Bailey ranked 374th in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 333rd, led by strong shot blocking despite below-average scoring efficiency. After adjusting for teammates and opponents, his on-court defense was weaker than the box score indicated, lowering his overall rating. Over nearly 2,000 minutes, he finished in the 1st percentile for total season value.
2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives Ace Bailey's impact
395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with
Overall value
Impact Rate
5
3.2Season Value
1
-45.7Scoring role
Usage
69
21.4%True shooting
18
53.3%3-point attempt rate
53
44.6%Free-throw rate
6
9.9%Creation and control
Assist rate
31
9.7%Turnover avoidance
74
10.3%Possession stats
Rebound rate
42
8.2%Steal rate
34
1.4%Block rate
75
2.4%Lineup signal
Offensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
13
−1.54Defensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
9
−1.92Workload
Minutes per game
68
27.6Games played
77
72Total minutes
79
1,988Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.
Every season
Ace Bailey advanced stats by season
Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.
| Season | Team | Age | GP | MP | Era-centered box impact | Impact Rate | Rate rank | Season Value | Value percentile | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26live model | UTA | 19 | 72 | 1,988 | -2.57 | 3.2 | #374 | -45.7 | 1st | Strong |
Career movement
Ace Bailey's career impact by season
Peak -2.57 in 2025–26 · 1 seasons · 1,988 minutes
The same historical box-score model is used for every season, making the career shape comparable through time. This is separate from the current lineup-context ranking.
Era-centered box impactMinutes
Across-era box estimateWorkload
Early-career comparison
Compare the first 1 seasons
Only the first 1 NBA seasons are compared, so this is a similarity of starts—not a prediction of the full career.
Ace BaileyA.J. English
NBA season number · fixed impact axis −5 to +15
Similar starts
Players with starts similar to Ace Bailey
The score compares the first 1 seasons by impact, workload, position, and trajectory. It does not claim the careers will finish alike.
SG · All-Time Career #2035
A.J. English
91%start match
86% season match · 2025–26 ↔ 1990–91SF · All-Time Career #2573Zaccharie Risacher
91%start match
98% season match · 2025–26 ↔ 2024–25SG · All-Time Career #610Ralph Davis
90%start match
88% season match · 2025–26 ↔ 1961–62SG · All-Time Career #2531Jaylen Wells
90%start match
91% season match · 2025–26 ↔ 2024–25SF · All-Time Career #2903Kris Murray
88%start match
86% season match · 2025–26 ↔ 2023–24SF · All-Time Career #2447Calvin Garrett
88%start match
86% season match · 2025–26 ↔ 1980–81Why this rank?
Why Ace Bailey ranks #374
The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.
Prior rank #333
Current total -3.40 ±1.0
Split model · O -1.54 · D -1.92 = -3.46
Maximum ±0.75
Before the within-season scale
3.2 unadjusted · 97% role factor · rank #374
RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.
What the point estimate meansLow precision
The model's 80% impact interval is -3.29 to +1.19. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.
- Top 25 chance
- 1%
- Top 50 chance
- 2%
- Top 100 chance
- 6%
- 80% rank range
- #136–#384
Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played. The career ranking rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →