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NBA player comparison

Arnie Risen vs. Deandre Ayton: Career comparison

hussEyquationCareer impact · results to date
Regular-season verdict

Arnie Risen ranks higher in career impact so far

Impact comparison

Box impact estimates points per 100 possessions above each season's league average. Higher is better. Career ranks and average league finishes work the other way: lower is better.

#252LeadsCareer Impact Rank to datePeak-weighted regular-season rank#1285
+0.3Best 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.7Leads
25.3LeadsBest 3 average finishAverage league place · lower is better102.3
+553 ptsPoints above replacementCumulative regular-season value+645 ptsLeads
50.9LeadsBest 10 average finishAverage league place · lower is better202.4
+1.4Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+1.4

Career Impact Rank places Arnie Risen #252 and Deandre Ayton #1285. It combines league finishes across each player's best three, five, and ten regular seasons, giving the most weight to the best three. Deandre Ayton had more total career value.

Regular season only. Impact figures are estimates; small gaps are not exact. Playoffs, awards and titles do not determine the verdict.

Career impact · results to datehusseyquation.com/compare/arnie-risen/deandre-ayton/career
Career Impact RankSee exactly how both rankings are calculatedArnie Risen32.807 · No. 252Deandre Ayton125.907 · No. 1,285

Only the three league-finish windows below determine Career Impact Rank. Career Value and peak impact are separate measures; neither adds points to this calculation. Lower composite scores rank higher.

Arnie Risen

32.807 composite · No. 252 all-time

Arnie Risen's Career Composite windows
Window and finishes usedAverage finishWeightContribution
Best 3No. 221950–51Reconstructed historical estimateNo. 261953–54Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 281951–52Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimate25.33350%12.667
Best 5No. 221950–51Reconstructed historical estimateNo. 261953–54Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 281951–52Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 381952–53Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 521954–55Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimate33.20030%9.960
Best 10No. 221950–51Reconstructed historical estimateNo. 261953–54Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 281951–52Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 381952–53Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 521954–55Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 531956–57Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 601957–58Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 651955–56Reconstructed historical estimateIncludes bounded historical defense estimate2 open slots × No. 82.550.90020%10.180

12.667 + 9.960 + 10.180= 32.807

Open-season rule: every unfilled slot uses No. 82.5, this player's stored replacement finish.

Deandre Ayton

125.907 composite · No. 1,285 all-time

Deandre Ayton's Career Composite windows
Window and finishes usedAverage finishWeightContribution
Best 3No. 852021–22No. 1082023–24No. 1142018–19Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate102.33350%51.167
Best 5No. 852021–22No. 1082023–24No. 1142018–19Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1172022–23No. 1472020–21114.20030%34.260
Best 10No. 852021–22No. 1082023–24No. 1142018–19Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1172022–23No. 1472020–21No. 1742019–20Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2192024–25No. 3082025–262 open slots × No. 376202.40020%40.480

51.167 + 34.260 + 40.480= 125.907

Open-season rule: every unfilled slot uses No. 376, this player's stored replacement finish.

Averages, contributions, and totals are displayed to three decimal places. The ranking calculation keeps full source precision. Read the full method →

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Full comparison · Career comparison

Understand the numbers

Start with impact, then compare playing time and skills. Team results add context. These are not categories to tally into a winner.

1 · Ranking evidence

Impact: who ranks higher, and why?

Career Impact Rank compares entire regular-season careers across NBA history. It combines average league places across the best three, five, and ten seasons, weighted 50%, 30%, and 20%. A lower rank or average place is better.

Impact: Arnie Risen and Deandre Ayton
MetricArnie RisenDeandre Ayton
Career Impact Rank to datePeak-weighted regular-season rank#252Better result for this metric.#1285
Best 3 average finishAverage league place · lower is better25.3Better result for this metric.102.3
Best 5 average finishAverage league place · lower is better33.2Better result for this metric.114.2
Best 10 average finishAverage league place · lower is better50.9Better result for this metric.202.4
Show more stats: Impact
Impact: Arnie Risen and Deandre Ayton
MetricArnie RisenDeandre Ayton
Points-above-replacement rankAll-time rank in estimated regular-season points above replacement#730#664Better result for this metric.
Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+1.4+1.4
Best 3 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.8+0.9Better result for this metric.
Best 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.3+0.7Better result for this metric.
Best 10 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is betterUnavailableUnavailable
Points above replacementRegular season · fixed -2.0 replacement baseline · higher is better+553 pts+645 ptsBetter result for this metric.
Seasons ranked No. 100
Top-five impact seasons00
Top-ten impact seasons00

2 · Playing time and responsibility

How much did each player take on?

Read games and minutes alongside impact. Offensive usage is the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on court. More usage is not automatically better.

Playing time and workload: Arnie Risen and Deandre Ayton
MetricArnie RisenDeandre Ayton
Games515470
Minutes15,40514,230

3 · Individual skills

Where does each player have an advantage?

These are each player's averages across up to ten best seasons. Career Impact Rank gives the Best 3, Best 5, and Best 10 average league finishes 50%, 30%, and 20% window weights, giving the most weight to the highest peak. The model accounts for position, role, pace, playing time, and team results. Green marks the better result for a metric, including lower turnover rates. Workload and shot-selection measures stay neutral. These rows are not votes toward the ranking.

Shooting

True shooting includes two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws.

Shooting: Arnie Risen and Deandre Ayton
MetricArnie RisenDeandre Ayton
True shooting percentage45.5%62.0%Better result for this metric.
True shootingAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profileUnavailable61.9%
Show more stats: Shooting
Shooting: Arnie Risen and Deandre Ayton
MetricArnie RisenDeandre Ayton
Field-goal percentage37.9%59.9%Better result for this metric.
Three-point percentageUnavailable23.0%
Free-throw percentage71.0%74.1%Better result for this metric.

Passing

Assist rate is the share of teammates’ made shots assisted while the player is on court. Read turnovers alongside offensive workload; lower turnover rate is generally better.

Passing: Arnie Risen and Deandre Ayton
MetricArnie RisenDeandre Ayton
Assist rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profileUnavailable8.1%
Assists per game1.7Better result for this metric.1.5
Show more stats: Passing
Passing: Arnie Risen and Deandre Ayton
MetricArnie RisenDeandre Ayton
Turnover rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profileUnavailable11.4%

Rebounding

Rebound rate is the share of available rebounds collected while on court.

Rebounding: Arnie Risen and Deandre Ayton
MetricArnie RisenDeandre Ayton
Rebound rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profileUnavailable18.6%
Rebounds per game9.710.1Better result for this metric.

Defense

Steals and blocks describe only part of defense. They do not capture every stop, rotation, or matchup.

Defense: Arnie Risen and Deandre Ayton
MetricArnie RisenDeandre Ayton
Steal rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profileUnavailable1.1%
Show more stats: Defense
Defense: Arnie Risen and Deandre Ayton
MetricArnie RisenDeandre Ayton
Block rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profileUnavailable2.9%

Scoring

Points per game describe scoring volume, not overall impact.

Scoring: Arnie Risen and Deandre Ayton
MetricArnie RisenDeandre Ayton
Points per game11.715.8Better result for this metric.

4 · Team context, not ranking inputs

What happened with and without them?

A verified with/without comparison is unavailable for this scope. We do not substitute another season’s observations.

Four separate questions

Impact, winning, playoffs, and awards

These are different ways to understand a career. Only Regular Season Impact determines the hussEyquation verdict. The other three sections add basketball context without adding points or changing the rank.

Career to date. At least one player is active. Every total below stops after the latest completed season in this data; nothing is projected.

Ranking result

Regular Season Impact

Arnie Risen ranks higher in career impact so far.

Arnie RisenMetricDeandre Ayton
#252LeadsCareer Impact Rank to datePeak-weighted regular-season rank#1285
+1.4Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+1.4
+0.3Best 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.7Leads
+553 ptsPoints above replacementRegular season · fixed -2.0 replacement baseline · higher is better+645 ptsLeads

This is the ranking result. It uses regular-season impact only. Team records, playoffs, and awards do not change it.

Context

Team Success

The advantages are split across the available measures.

Arnie RisenMetricDeandre Ayton
331LeadsListed-team regular-season wins323
58.7%LeadsListed-team winning percentage50.7%
050-win team seasons3Leads
060-win team seasons1Leads
8LeadsPlayoff team seasons4

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.

Context

Playoff Résumé

The advantages are split across the available measures.

Arnie RisenMetricDeandre Ayton
8LeadsPlayoff appearances4
55Playoff games55
29Team playoff wins31Leads
3LeadsFinals appearances1
2LeadsChampionships0

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team playoff results count only seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.

Context

Awards

No recorded measure separates these careers.

Arnie RisenMetricDeandre Ayton
4All-StarNot available
0MVPNot available
0All-NBANot available
0All-DefenseNot available
0DPOYNot available
0Rookie of the YearNot available

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Major regular-season honors are recognition, not inputs to the impact ranking.

How each context field is counted
Listed-team regular-season wins
The sum of each listed team's final wins in every season the player represented that team.
Listed-team winning percentage
Those team wins divided by those teams' total regular-season games.
50- and 60-win team seasons
Listed team-seasons that finished with at least 50 or 60 wins. Shortened seasons are not projected to 82 games.
Team seasons reaching playoffs
Listed team-seasons in which that team qualified for the playoffs.
Playoff appearances and games
Postseasons and games in which the player appeared.
Team playoff wins
Team wins from those postseasons. They describe team results, not individual credit.
Finals appearances and championships
Seasons when the player appeared in the playoffs for the finalist or champion.
Awards
Recorded NBA selections and major regular-season honors. A zero means the source records none; Not available means the source field is missing.

Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed 2026-10-09. Active-career totals are results to date through the latest completed season in the source.

Career Shape Explorer

How the careers developed

Follow every regular season by NBA experience or age. This view describes the path; it does not create another verdict.

View
Align careers by
Arnie RisenDeandre AytonPeak seasonHistorical source qualification

Career to date. Active careers stop at the latest completed season; no future seasons are projected.

Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average

S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S6
S7
S8

Striped bars mark seasons with fewer than 40 games. A dashed mark means that player had no season at the aligned point.

S means NBA season number; A means player age. Peak labels identify each player's accepted best season. Hover or focus any pair for season detail, or open Season timeline for the complete evidence ledger.