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Brandin Podziemski vs. Chet Holmgren: 2025–26 season

hussEyquation2025–26 season · regular-season impact
Regular-season verdict

Chet Holmgren leads in impact for 2025–26

Chet Holmgren ranks ahead of Brandin Podziemski in estimated impact while playing. This compares regular-season performance, not total contribution across the season.

Impact comparison

Impact estimate is measured in points per 100 possessions above league average. Zero is average; higher is better. Impact Rate rank is a league place, not a 0–100 score: No. 1 is best.

+1.4Impact estimateEstimated points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+2.5Leads
#67Impact Rate rankLeague place · No. 1 is best#14Leads
+1.62Estimated defensive impactSelected-season lineup estimate · points per 100 possessions+4.33Leads
-1.36Estimated offensive impactSelected-season lineup estimate · points per 100 possessions+2.05Leads
1.8%LeadsSteal rate1.0%
11.9%Turnover rateLower is better; compare alongside offensive workload10.6%Leads
20.1%Offensive usage21.9%
58.3%True shooting %65.3%Leads
19.2%LeadsAssist rateShare of teammates’ made shots assisted while on court8.6%
10.0%Rebound rateShare of available rebounds collected while on court16.7%Leads
82Games69
2,333Minutes1,997

Chet Holmgren's estimated impact per 100 possessions was +2.5, compared with +1.4 for Brandin Podziemski. This compares their impact while playing, not their total contribution across the season. Both players are compared in the 2025–26 season using its published Impact Rate. A ranked comparison requires at least 450 minutes for each player.

Brandin Podziemski: 82 games and 2,333 minutes. Chet Holmgren: 69 games and 1,997 minutes. Playing time matters when judging the whole season; the impact estimate above is a rate, not a season total.

Chet Holmgren ended a larger share of his team’s possessions, so the turnover rates are not an equal-workload comparison. Offensive usage measures the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on the court—not every touch, pass, or act of playmaking. These rows provide context; they are not extra points added to the ranking.

Regular season only. Impact figures are estimates; small gaps are not exact. Playoffs, awards and titles do not determine the verdict.

2025–26 season · regular-season impacthusseyquation.com/compare/brandin-podziemski/chet-holmgren/2025-26

Behind the estimate

Why the model rates them this way

The model starts with each player’s recorded individual stats, then adjusts that estimate using lineup results. The first two rows add up to the final estimate. All figures are points per 100 possessions.

Brandin PodziemskiMetricChet Holmgren
+0.98From recorded individual stats+1.54Leads
+0.39Adjustment from recent lineup results+0.93Leads
+1.36Final estimated impact+2.48Leads

Lineup evidence: Brandin Podziemski — 3 seasons; Chet Holmgren — 3 seasons. This adjustment is not necessarily based on the selected season alone.

Offensive and defensive lineup estimates for the selected season

These selected-season estimates account for who played alongside and against each player. Positive means better than average; a positive defensive figure means fewer points allowed. They are separate estimates—not additional points added to the calculation above. They do not measure how much individual teammates improved.

Brandin PodziemskiMetricChet Holmgren
-1.36Adjusted offensive impact+2.05Leads
+1.62Adjusted defensive impact+4.33Leads

What this does not establish: these figures do not prove that either player made his teammates shoot better. A verified teammate-shooting comparison is unavailable for this selected season. A small difference in the estimates is not a decisive basketball distinction.

Share this comparisonSocial card: every summary row. Link preview: six key figures.

Full comparison · 2025–26 season

Understand the numbers

Start with impact, then compare playing time and skills. Team results add context. These are not categories to tally into a winner.

1 · Ranking evidence

Impact: who ranks higher, and why?

The impact estimate compares performance while playing, not total contribution over the season. The individual-stat estimate plus the lineup adjustment gives the final estimate.

Impact: Brandin Podziemski and Chet Holmgren
MetricBrandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren
Impact estimateEstimated points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+1.4+2.5Better result for this metric.
Impact Rate rankLeague place · No. 1 is best#67#14Better result for this metric.
From recorded individual stats+0.98+1.54Better result for this metric.
Adjustment from recent lineup results+0.39+0.93Better result for this metric.

Brandin Podziemski: 3 seasons of lineup evidence. Chet Holmgren: 3 seasons of lineup evidence. The adjustment is not necessarily based on this season alone.

Show more stats: Impact
Impact: Brandin Podziemski and Chet Holmgren
MetricBrandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren
Final estimated impact+1.36+2.48Better result for this metric.

2 · Playing time and responsibility

How much did each player take on?

Read games and minutes alongside impact. Offensive usage is the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on court. More usage is not automatically better.

Playing time and workload: Brandin Podziemski and Chet Holmgren
MetricBrandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren
Games8269
Minutes2,3331,997
Offensive usage20.1%21.9%

3 · Individual skills

Where does each player have an advantage?

These figures describe the selected regular seasons. They provide context, not extra points added to the verdict. Green marks the better result for a metric, including lower turnover rates. Workload and shot-selection measures stay neutral. These rows are not votes toward the ranking.

Shooting

True shooting includes two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws.

Shooting: Brandin Podziemski and Chet Holmgren
MetricBrandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren
True shooting percentage58.3%65.3%Better result for this metric.
Show more stats: Shooting
Shooting: Brandin Podziemski and Chet Holmgren
MetricBrandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren
Field-goal percentage45.5%55.7%Better result for this metric.
Three-point percentage37.1%Better result for this metric.36.2%
Free-throw percentage79.7%Better result for this metric.79.2%
Three-point attempt rateShare of field-goal attempts taken from three; describes shot selection, not quality47.6%31.2%

Passing

Assist rate is the share of teammates’ made shots assisted while the player is on court. Read turnovers alongside offensive workload; lower turnover rate is generally better.

Passing: Brandin Podziemski and Chet Holmgren
MetricBrandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren
Assist rateShare of teammates’ made shots assisted while on court19.2%Better result for this metric.8.6%
Assists per game3.7Better result for this metric.1.7
Show more stats: Passing
Passing: Brandin Podziemski and Chet Holmgren
MetricBrandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren
Turnover rateLower is better; compare alongside offensive workload11.9%10.6%Better result for this metric.

Rebounding

Rebound rate is the share of available rebounds collected while on court.

Rebounding: Brandin Podziemski and Chet Holmgren
MetricBrandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren
Rebound rateShare of available rebounds collected while on court10.0%16.7%Better result for this metric.
Rebounds per game5.18.9Better result for this metric.

Defense

Steals and blocks describe only part of defense. They do not capture every stop, rotation, or matchup.

Defense: Brandin Podziemski and Chet Holmgren
MetricBrandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren
Steal rate1.8%Better result for this metric.1.0%
Show more stats: Defense
Defense: Brandin Podziemski and Chet Holmgren
MetricBrandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren
Block rateShare of opponents’ two-point attempts blocked while on court0.6%6.4%Better result for this metric.

Scoring

Points per game describe scoring volume, not overall impact.

Scoring: Brandin Podziemski and Chet Holmgren
MetricBrandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren
Points per game13.817.1Better result for this metric.

4 · Team context, not ranking inputs

What happened with and without them?

A verified with/without comparison is unavailable for this scope. We do not substitute another season’s observations.

Selected-season adjusted lineup estimates

These account for who played alongside and against each player. Positive defense means fewer points allowed. They are separate from the observed results and are not additional points added to the model calculation.

Adjusted lineup estimates: Brandin Podziemski and Chet Holmgren
MetricBrandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren
Adjusted offensive impact-1.36+2.05Better result for this metric.
Adjusted defensive impact+1.62+4.33Better result for this metric.

Four separate questions

Impact, winning, playoffs, and awards

These are different ways to understand a career. Only Regular Season Impact determines the hussEyquation verdict. The other three sections add basketball context without adding points or changing the rank.

Career to date. At least one player is active. Every total below stops after the latest completed season in this data; nothing is projected.

Ranking result

Regular Season Impact

Chet Holmgren leads in impact for 2025–26.

Brandin PodziemskiMetricChet Holmgren
+1.4Impact estimateEstimated points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+2.5Leads
#67Impact Rate rankLeague place · No. 1 is best#14Leads

This is the ranking result. It uses regular-season impact only. Team records, playoffs, and awards do not change it.

Context

Team Success

Chet Holmgren leads every available measure below.

Brandin PodziemskiMetricChet Holmgren
131Listed-team regular-season wins189Leads
53.3%Listed-team winning percentage76.8%Leads
050-win team seasons3Leads
060-win team seasons2Leads
1Playoff team seasons3Leads

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.

Context

Playoff Résumé

Chet Holmgren leads every available measure below.

Brandin PodziemskiMetricChet Holmgren
1Playoff appearances3Leads
12Playoff games48Leads
5Team playoff wins33Leads
0Finals appearances1Leads
0Championships1Leads

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team playoff results count only seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.

Context

Awards

No recorded measure separates these careers.

Brandin PodziemskiMetricChet Holmgren
Not availableAll-Star1
Not availableMVP0
Not availableAll-NBA1
Not availableAll-Defense1
Not availableDPOY0
Not availableRookie of the Year0

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Major regular-season honors are recognition, not inputs to the impact ranking.

How each context field is counted
Listed-team regular-season wins
The sum of each listed team's final wins in every season the player represented that team.
Listed-team winning percentage
Those team wins divided by those teams' total regular-season games.
50- and 60-win team seasons
Listed team-seasons that finished with at least 50 or 60 wins. Shortened seasons are not projected to 82 games.
Team seasons reaching playoffs
Listed team-seasons in which that team qualified for the playoffs.
Playoff appearances and games
Postseasons and games in which the player appeared.
Team playoff wins
Team wins from those postseasons. They describe team results, not individual credit.
Finals appearances and championships
Seasons when the player appeared in the playoffs for the finalist or champion.
Awards
Recorded NBA selections and major regular-season honors. A zero means the source records none; Not available means the source field is missing.

Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed 2026-10-09. Active-career totals are results to date through the latest completed season in the source.

Selected seasons

Box impact

Both bars show the same NBA season. Missing or unqualified data does not establish a winner.

Brandin PodziemskiChet Holmgren

Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average

1
Both bars show the same NBA season. Missing or unqualified data does not establish a winner.