94.5 score · 99% MPG role factor
Explore rankings
Player profile · OKC
Chet Holmgren
Chet Holmgren advanced stats and career rankings
RolePF · Age 23
Availability69 games · 69 starts
Workload28.9 MPG · 1,997 minutes
Relative impactOKC #2 of 13 · PF #4 of 76
UpdatedJul 21, 2026
93.6 total value · 395 qualified players
41.5 all-time composite · 3 seasons
Low ranking precision · Likely rank #10–#222
Bottom line · 2025–26
Chet Holmgren delivered an outstanding 2025–26 campaign, ranking 16th in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 49th, led by rebounding and shot blocking. After adjusting for teammates and opponents, his on-court defense was stronger than the box score indicated, lifting his overall rating. Over nearly 2,000 minutes, he finished in the 95th percentile for total season value.
2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives Chet Holmgren's impact
395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with
Overall value
Impact Rate
96
94.5Season Value
95
93.6Scoring role
Usage
71
21.9%True shooting
93
65.3%3-point attempt rate
25
31.2%Free-throw rate
84
36.5%Creation and control
Assist rate
22
8.6%Turnover avoidance
71
10.6%Possession stats
Rebound rate
91
16.7%Steal rate
9
1.0%Block rate
98
6.4%Lineup signal
Offensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
89
+2.05Defensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
99
+4.33Workload
Minutes per game
74
28.9Games played
68
69Total minutes
80
1,997Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.
Every season
Chet Holmgren advanced stats by season
Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.
Career movement
Chet Holmgren's career impact by season
Peak +2.68 in 2023–24 · 3 seasons · 5,287 minutes
The same historical box-score model is used for every season, making the career shape comparable through time. This is separate from the current lineup-context ranking.
Era-centered box impactMinutes
Across-era box estimateWorkload
Early-career comparison
Compare the first 3 seasons
Only the first 3 NBA seasons are compared, so this is a similarity of starts—not a prediction of the full career.
Chet HolmgrenWalker Kessler
NBA season number · fixed impact axis −5 to +15
Similar starts
Players with starts similar to Chet Holmgren
The score compares the first 3 seasons by impact, workload, position, and trajectory. It does not claim the careers will finish alike.
C · All-Time Career #734
Walker Kessler
93%start match
89% season match · 2023–24 ↔ 2022–23SF · All-Time Career #441Amen Thompson
89%start match
87% season match · 2023–24 ↔ 2024–25PF · All-Time Career #524Nikola Mirotić
89%start match
86% season match · 2023–24 ↔ 2014–15C · All-Time Career #1144Jalen Duren
89%start match
94% season match · 2023–24 ↔ 2024–25PF · All-Time Career #275Clark Kellogg
89%start match
92% season match · 2023–24 ↔ 1983–84C · All-Time Career #1042Donovan Clingan
87%start match
95% season match · 2023–24 ↔ 2025–26Why this rank?
Why Chet Holmgren ranks #16
The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.
Prior rank #49
Current total +6.48 ±0.9
Split model · O +2.05 · D +4.33 = +6.37
Maximum ±0.75
Before the within-season scale
95.3 unadjusted · 99% role factor · rank #16
RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.
What the point estimate meansLow precision
The model's 80% impact interval is +0.10 to +4.52. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.
- Top 25 chance
- 28%
- Top 50 chance
- 44%
- Top 100 chance
- 65%
- 80% rank range
- #10–#222
Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played. The career ranking rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →