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NBA player comparison

Aaron Williams vs. Doug McDermott: Career comparison

hussEyquationCareer impact · results to date
Regular-season verdict

Aaron Williams ranks higher in career impact so far

Impact comparison

Box impact estimates points per 100 possessions above each season's league average. Higher is better. Career ranks and average league finishes work the other way: lower is better.

#1479LeadsCareer Impact Rank to datePeak-weighted regular-season rank#1905
+0.2Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.3Leads
-0.4LeadsBest 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-0.9
126.0LeadsBest 3 average finishAverage league place · lower is better183.0
+102 ptsLeadsPoints above replacementCumulative regular-season value+99 pts
206.3LeadsBest 10 average finishAverage league place · lower is better254.0

Career Impact Rank places Aaron Williams #1479 and Doug McDermott #1905. It combines league finishes across each player's best three, five, and ten regular seasons, giving the most weight to the best three. Doug McDermott had the higher single-season impact estimate.

Regular season only. Impact figures are estimates; small gaps are not exact. Playoffs, awards and titles do not determine the verdict.

Career impact · results to datehusseyquation.com/compare/aaron-williams/doug-mcdermott/career
Career Impact RankSee exactly how both rankings are calculatedAaron Williams149.020 · No. 1,479Doug McDermott206.080 · No. 1,905

Only the three league-finish windows below determine Career Impact Rank. Career Value and peak impact are separate measures; neither adds points to this calculation. Lower composite scores rank higher.

Aaron Williams

149.020 composite · No. 1,479 all-time

Aaron Williams's Career Composite windows
Window and finishes usedAverage finishWeightContribution
Best 3No. 1162001–02Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1281996–97Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1341999–00Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate126.00050%63.000
Best 5No. 1162001–02Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1281996–97Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1341999–00Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1782003–04Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1902000–01Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate149.20030%44.760
Best 10No. 1162001–02Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1281996–97Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1341999–00Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1782003–04Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1902000–01Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2111998–99Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2252002–03Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2782005–06Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2811997–98Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate1 open slot × No. 322206.30020%41.260

63.000 + 44.760 + 41.260= 149.020

Open-season rule: every unfilled slot uses No. 322, this player's stored replacement finish.

Doug McDermott

206.080 composite · No. 1,905 all-time

Doug McDermott's Career Composite windows
Window and finishes usedAverage finishWeightContribution
Best 3No. 1442019–20Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1612020–21No. 2442018–19Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate183.00050%91.500
Best 5No. 1442019–20Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1612020–21No. 2442018–19Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2512022–23No. 2632016–17Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate212.60030%63.780
Best 10No. 1442019–20Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1612020–21No. 2442018–19Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2512022–23No. 2632016–17Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2632021–22No. 2782015–16Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2832017–18Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2832023–241 open slot × No. 370254.00020%50.800

91.500 + 63.780 + 50.800= 206.080

Open-season rule: every unfilled slot uses No. 370, this player's stored replacement finish.

Averages, contributions, and totals are displayed to three decimal places. The ranking calculation keeps full source precision. Read the full method →

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Full comparison · Career comparison

Understand the numbers

Start with impact, then compare playing time and skills. Team results add context. These are not categories to tally into a winner.

1 · Ranking evidence

Impact: who ranks higher, and why?

Career Impact Rank compares entire regular-season careers across NBA history. It combines average league places across the best three, five, and ten seasons, weighted 50%, 30%, and 20%. A lower rank or average place is better.

Impact: Aaron Williams and Doug McDermott
MetricAaron WilliamsDoug McDermott
Career Impact Rank to datePeak-weighted regular-season rank#1479Better result for this metric.#1905
Best 3 average finishAverage league place · lower is better126.0Better result for this metric.183.0
Best 5 average finishAverage league place · lower is better149.2Better result for this metric.212.6
Best 10 average finishAverage league place · lower is better206.3Better result for this metric.254.0
Show more stats: Impact
Impact: Aaron Williams and Doug McDermott
MetricAaron WilliamsDoug McDermott
Points-above-replacement rankAll-time rank in estimated regular-season points above replacement#1412Better result for this metric.#1425
Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.2+0.3Better result for this metric.
Best 3 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.0Better result for this metric.-0.4
Best 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-0.4Better result for this metric.-0.9
Best 10 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is betterUnavailableUnavailable
Points above replacementRegular season · fixed -2.0 replacement baseline · higher is better+102 ptsBetter result for this metric.+99 pts
Seasons ranked No. 100
Top-five impact seasons00
Top-ten impact seasons00

2 · Playing time and responsibility

How much did each player take on?

Read games and minutes alongside impact. Offensive usage is the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on court. More usage is not automatically better.

Playing time and workload: Aaron Williams and Doug McDermott
MetricAaron WilliamsDoug McDermott
Games715726
Minutes12,00014,011

3 · Individual skills

Where does each player have an advantage?

These are each player's averages across up to ten best seasons. Career Impact Rank gives the Best 3, Best 5, and Best 10 average league finishes 50%, 30%, and 20% window weights, giving the most weight to the highest peak. The model accounts for position, role, pace, playing time, and team results. Green marks the better result for a metric, including lower turnover rates. Workload and shot-selection measures stay neutral. These rows are not votes toward the ranking.

Shooting

True shooting includes two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws.

Shooting: Aaron Williams and Doug McDermott
MetricAaron WilliamsDoug McDermott
True shooting percentage54.6%59.2%Better result for this metric.
True shootingAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile55.1%59.4%Better result for this metric.
Show more stats: Shooting
Shooting: Aaron Williams and Doug McDermott
MetricAaron WilliamsDoug McDermott
Field-goal percentage49.3%Better result for this metric.46.8%
Three-point percentage6.3%41.0%Better result for this metric.
Free-throw percentage74.0%80.6%Better result for this metric.

Passing

Assist rate is the share of teammates’ made shots assisted while the player is on court. Read turnovers alongside offensive workload; lower turnover rate is generally better.

Passing: Aaron Williams and Doug McDermott
MetricAaron WilliamsDoug McDermott
Assist rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile6.6%7.6%Better result for this metric.
Assists per game0.70.9Better result for this metric.
Show more stats: Passing
Passing: Aaron Williams and Doug McDermott
MetricAaron WilliamsDoug McDermott
Turnover rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile14.9%8.0%Better result for this metric.

Rebounding

Rebound rate is the share of available rebounds collected while on court.

Rebounding: Aaron Williams and Doug McDermott
MetricAaron WilliamsDoug McDermott
Rebound rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile13.6%Better result for this metric.5.7%
Rebounds per game3.9Better result for this metric.2.1

Defense

Steals and blocks describe only part of defense. They do not capture every stop, rotation, or matchup.

Defense: Aaron Williams and Doug McDermott
MetricAaron WilliamsDoug McDermott
Steal rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile1.3%Better result for this metric.0.5%
Show more stats: Defense
Defense: Aaron Williams and Doug McDermott
MetricAaron WilliamsDoug McDermott
Block rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile3.4%Better result for this metric.0.4%

Scoring

Points per game describe scoring volume, not overall impact.

Scoring: Aaron Williams and Doug McDermott
MetricAaron WilliamsDoug McDermott
Points per game5.88.5Better result for this metric.

4 · Team context, not ranking inputs

What happened with and without them?

A verified with/without comparison is unavailable for this scope. We do not substitute another season’s observations.

Four separate questions

Impact, winning, playoffs, and awards

These are different ways to understand a career. Only Regular Season Impact determines the hussEyquation verdict. The other three sections add basketball context without adding points or changing the rank.

Career to date. At least one player is active. Every total below stops after the latest completed season in this data; nothing is projected.

Ranking result

Regular Season Impact

Aaron Williams ranks higher in career impact so far.

Aaron WilliamsMetricDoug McDermott
#1479LeadsCareer Impact Rank to datePeak-weighted regular-season rank#1905
+0.2Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.3Leads
-0.4LeadsBest 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-0.9
+102 ptsLeadsPoints above replacementRegular season · fixed -2.0 replacement baseline · higher is better+99 pts

This is the ranking result. It uses regular-season impact only. Team records, playoffs, and awards do not change it.

Context

Team Success

The advantages are split across the available measures.

Aaron WilliamsMetricDoug McDermott
614LeadsListed-team regular-season wins547
45.1%Listed-team winning percentage45.2%Leads
3Leads50-win team seasons1
1Leads60-win team seasons0
6Playoff team seasons6

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.

Context

Playoff Résumé

The advantages are split across the available measures.

Aaron WilliamsMetricDoug McDermott
4Playoff appearances5Leads
53LeadsPlayoff games25
36LeadsTeam playoff wins15
2LeadsFinals appearances0
0Championships0

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team playoff results count only seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.

Context

Awards

No recorded measure separates these careers.

Aaron WilliamsMetricDoug McDermott
Not availableAll-StarNot available
Not availableMVPNot available
Not availableAll-NBANot available
Not availableAll-DefenseNot available
Not availableDPOYNot available
Not availableRookie of the YearNot available

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Major regular-season honors are recognition, not inputs to the impact ranking.

How each context field is counted
Listed-team regular-season wins
The sum of each listed team's final wins in every season the player represented that team.
Listed-team winning percentage
Those team wins divided by those teams' total regular-season games.
50- and 60-win team seasons
Listed team-seasons that finished with at least 50 or 60 wins. Shortened seasons are not projected to 82 games.
Team seasons reaching playoffs
Listed team-seasons in which that team qualified for the playoffs.
Playoff appearances and games
Postseasons and games in which the player appeared.
Team playoff wins
Team wins from those postseasons. They describe team results, not individual credit.
Finals appearances and championships
Seasons when the player appeared in the playoffs for the finalist or champion.
Awards
Recorded NBA selections and major regular-season honors. A zero means the source records none; Not available means the source field is missing.

Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed 2026-10-09. Active-career totals are results to date through the latest completed season in the source.

Career Shape Explorer

How the careers developed

Follow every regular season by NBA experience or age. This view describes the path; it does not create another verdict.

View
Align careers by
Aaron WilliamsDoug McDermottPeak seasonHistorical source qualification

Career to date. Active careers stop at the latest completed season; no future seasons are projected.

Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average

S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S6
S7
S8
S9
S10
S11
S12
S13
S14

Striped bars mark seasons with fewer than 40 games. A dashed mark means that player had no season at the aligned point.

S means NBA season number; A means player age. Peak labels identify each player's accepted best season. Hover or focus any pair for season detail, or open Season timeline for the complete evidence ledger.