Anthony Davis
2025–26
NBA player comparison
Anthony Davis vs. Nikola Jokić: 2025–26 season
Regular-season verdict
Nikola Jokić has the higher model estimate for the 2025–26 season
This is a model estimate for the selected season. Its lineup adjustment also draws on earlier seasons; it is not a measurement of this season’s teammate improvement.
Nikola Jokić
2025–26
Impact comparison
+1.4Season impactEstimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average+6.0Leads
#55Season impact rank#1Leads
+0.17Estimated defensive impactSelected-season lineup estimate · points per 100 possessions+0.71Leads
+0.15Estimated offensive impactSelected-season lineup estimate · points per 100 possessions+5.07Leads
1.7%Steal rate2.0%Leads
10.0%LeadsTurnover rateLower is better; compare alongside offensive workload15.3%
27.5%Offensive usage30.4%
55.1%True shooting %67.0%Leads
15.1%Assist rateShare of teammates’ made shots assisted while on court50.3%Leads
18.7%Rebound rateShare of available rebounds collected while on court20.7%Leads
20Games65
626Minutes2,265
Nikola Jokić's estimated impact per 100 possessions was +6.0, compared with +1.4 for Anthony Davis. This compares their impact while playing, not their total contribution across the season. Both players are compared in the 2025–26 season using its published Impact Rate. A ranked comparison requires at least 450 minutes for each player.
Anthony Davis: 20 games and 626 minutes. Nikola Jokić: 65 games and 2,265 minutes. Playing time matters when judging the whole season; the impact estimate above is a rate, not a season total.
Nikola Jokić ended a larger share of his team’s possessions, so the turnover rates are not an equal-workload comparison. Offensive usage measures the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on the court—not every touch, pass, or act of playmaking. These rows provide context; they are not extra points added to the ranking.
Regular season only. Impact figures are estimates; small gaps are not exact. Playoffs, awards and titles do not determine the verdict.
Behind the estimate
Why the model rates them this way
The model starts with each player’s recorded individual stats, then adjusts that estimate using lineup results. The first two rows add up to the final estimate. All figures are points per 100 possessions.
Anthony DavisMetricNikola Jokić
+1.45From recorded individual stats+5.68Leads
-0.00Adjustment from recent lineup results+0.30Leads
+1.45Final estimated impact+5.98Leads
Lineup evidence: Anthony Davis — 3 seasons; Nikola Jokić — 3 seasons. This adjustment is not necessarily based on the selected season alone.
Offensive and defensive lineup estimates for the selected season
These selected-season estimates account for who played alongside and against each player. Positive means better than average; a positive defensive figure means fewer points allowed. They are separate estimates—not additional points added to the calculation above. They do not measure how much individual teammates improved.
Anthony DavisMetricNikola Jokić
+0.15Adjusted offensive impact+5.07Leads
+0.17Adjusted defensive impact+0.71Leads
What this does not establish: these figures do not prove that either player made his teammates shoot better. A verified teammate-shooting comparison is unavailable for this selected season. A small difference in the estimates is not a decisive basketball distinction.
Full comparison · 2025–26 season
Understand the numbers
Start with impact, then compare playing time and skills. Team results add context. These are not categories to tally into a winner.
1 · Ranking evidence
Impact: who ranks higher, and why?
The impact estimate compares performance while playing, not total contribution over the season. The individual-stat estimate plus the lineup adjustment gives the final estimate.
| Metric | Anthony Davis | Nikola Jokić |
|---|---|---|
| Season impactEstimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average | +1.4 | +6.0Better result for this metric. |
| Season impact rank | #55 | #1Better result for this metric. |
| From recorded individual stats | +1.45 | +5.68Better result for this metric. |
| Adjustment from recent lineup results | -0.00 | +0.30Better result for this metric. |
Anthony Davis: 3 seasons of lineup evidence. Nikola Jokić: 3 seasons of lineup evidence. The adjustment is not necessarily based on this season alone.
Show more stats: Impact
| Metric | Anthony Davis | Nikola Jokić |
|---|---|---|
| Final estimated impact | +1.45 | +5.98Better result for this metric. |
2 · Playing time and responsibility
How much did each player take on?
Read games and minutes alongside impact. Offensive usage is the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on court. More usage is not automatically better.
| Metric | Anthony Davis | Nikola Jokić |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 20 | 65 |
| Minutes | 626 | 2,265 |
| Offensive usage | 27.5% | 30.4% |
3 · Individual skills
Where does each player have an advantage?
These figures describe the selected regular seasons. They provide context, not extra points added to the verdict. Green marks the better result for a metric, including lower turnover rates. Workload and shot-selection measures stay neutral. These rows are not votes toward the ranking.
Shooting
True shooting includes two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws.
| Metric | Anthony Davis | Nikola Jokić |
|---|---|---|
| True shooting percentage | 55.1% | 67.0%Better result for this metric. |
Show more stats: Shooting
| Metric | Anthony Davis | Nikola Jokić |
|---|---|---|
| Field-goal percentage | 50.6% | 56.9%Better result for this metric. |
| Three-point percentage | 27.0% | 38.0%Better result for this metric. |
| Free-throw percentage | 72.8% | 83.1%Better result for this metric. |
| Three-point attempt rateShare of field-goal attempts taken from three; describes shot selection, not quality | 11.1% | 26.1% |
Passing
Assist rate is the share of teammates’ made shots assisted while the player is on court. Read turnovers alongside offensive workload; lower turnover rate is generally better.
| Metric | Anthony Davis | Nikola Jokić |
|---|---|---|
| Assist rateShare of teammates’ made shots assisted while on court | 15.1% | 50.3%Better result for this metric. |
| Assists per game | 2.8 | 10.7Better result for this metric. |
Show more stats: Passing
| Metric | Anthony Davis | Nikola Jokić |
|---|---|---|
| Turnover rateLower is better; compare alongside offensive workload | 10.0%Better result for this metric. | 15.3% |
Rebounding
Rebound rate is the share of available rebounds collected while on court.
| Metric | Anthony Davis | Nikola Jokić |
|---|---|---|
| Rebound rateShare of available rebounds collected while on court | 18.7% | 20.7%Better result for this metric. |
| Rebounds per game | 11.1 | 12.9Better result for this metric. |
Defense
Steals and blocks describe only part of defense. They do not capture every stop, rotation, or matchup.
| Metric | Anthony Davis | Nikola Jokić |
|---|---|---|
| Steal rate | 1.7% | 2.0%Better result for this metric. |
Show more stats: Defense
| Metric | Anthony Davis | Nikola Jokić |
|---|---|---|
| Block rateShare of opponents’ two-point attempts blocked while on court | 4.5%Better result for this metric. | 2.2% |
Scoring
Points per game describe scoring volume, not overall impact.
| Metric | Anthony Davis | Nikola Jokić |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 20.4 | 27.7Better result for this metric. |
4 · Team context, not ranking inputs
What happened with and without them?
A verified with/without comparison is unavailable for this scope. We do not substitute another season’s observations.
Selected-season adjusted lineup estimates
These account for who played alongside and against each player. Positive defense means fewer points allowed. They are separate from the observed results and are not additional points added to the model calculation.
| Metric | Anthony Davis | Nikola Jokić |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted offensive impact | +0.15 | +5.07Better result for this metric. |
| Adjusted defensive impact | +0.17 | +0.71Better result for this metric. |
Four separate questions
Impact, winning, playoffs, and awards
These are different ways to understand a career. Only Regular Season Impact determines the hussEyquation verdict. The other three sections add basketball context without adding points or changing the rank.
Career to date. At least one player is active. Every total below stops after the latest completed season in this data; nothing is projected.
Regular Season Impact
Nikola Jokić has the higher model estimate for the 2025–26 season.
Anthony DavisMetricNikola Jokić
+1.4Season impactEstimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average+6.0Leads
#55Season impact rank#1Leads
This is the ranking result. It uses regular-season impact only. Team records, playoffs, and awards do not change it.
Team Success
The advantages are split across the available measures.
Anthony DavisMetricNikola Jokić
583LeadsListed-team regular-season wins528
48.2%Listed-team winning percentage59.8%Leads
250-win team seasons5Leads
060-win team seasons0
7Playoff team seasons8Leads
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.
Playoff Résumé
Nikola Jokić leads every available measure below.
Anthony DavisMetricNikola Jokić
6Playoff appearances8Leads
60Playoff games100Leads
32Team playoff wins53Leads
1Finals appearances1
1Championships1
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team playoff results count only seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.
Awards
The advantages are split across the available measures.
Anthony DavisMetricNikola Jokić
10LeadsAll-Star8
0MVP3Leads
5All-NBA8Leads
5LeadsAll-Defense0
0DPOY0
0Rookie of the Year0
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Major regular-season honors are recognition, not inputs to the impact ranking.
How each context field is counted
- Listed-team regular-season wins
- The sum of each listed team's final wins in every season the player represented that team.
- Listed-team winning percentage
- Those team wins divided by those teams' total regular-season games.
- 50- and 60-win team seasons
- Listed team-seasons that finished with at least 50 or 60 wins. Shortened seasons are not projected to 82 games.
- Team seasons reaching playoffs
- Listed team-seasons in which that team qualified for the playoffs.
- Playoff appearances and games
- Postseasons and games in which the player appeared.
- Team playoff wins
- Team wins from those postseasons. They describe team results, not individual credit.
- Finals appearances and championships
- Seasons when the player appeared in the playoffs for the finalist or champion.
- Awards
- Recorded NBA selections and major regular-season honors. A zero means the source records none; Not available means the source field is missing.
Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed 2026-10-09. Active-career totals are results to date through the latest completed season in the source.
Selected seasons
Era-centered impact
Both bars show the same NBA season. Missing or unqualified data does not establish a winner.
Anthony DavisNikola Jokić
Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average
Striped bars mark seasons with fewer than 40 games. A dashed mark means that player had no season at the aligned point.