Duncan Robinson
2018–19 to 2025–26 · 8 seasons · active
NBA player comparison
Duncan Robinson vs. Marvin Bagley III: Career comparison
Regular-season verdict
Duncan Robinson ranks higher in career impact so far
Marvin Bagley III
2018–19 to 2025–26 · 8 seasons · active
Impact comparison
Box impact estimates points per 100 possessions above each season's league average. Higher is better. Career ranks and average league finishes work the other way: lower is better.
#1725LeadsCareer Impact Rank to datePeak-weighted regular-season rank#1801
+0.7Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+1.8Leads
-0.5Best 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-0.2Leads
141.3LeadsBest 3 average finishAverage league place · lower is better154.7
+295 ptsLeadsPoints above replacementCumulative regular-season value+177 pts
268.7LeadsBest 10 average finishAverage league place · lower is better275.6
Career Impact Rank places Duncan Robinson #1725 and Marvin Bagley III #1801. It combines league finishes across each player's best three, five, and ten regular seasons, giving the most weight to the best three. Marvin Bagley III had the higher single-season impact estimate.
Regular season only. Impact figures are estimates; small gaps are not exact. Playoffs, awards and titles do not determine the verdict.
Career Impact RankSee exactly how both rankings are calculatedDuncan Robinson178.707 · No. 1,725Marvin Bagley III188.433 · No. 1,801
Only the three league-finish windows below determine Career Impact Rank. Career Value and peak impact are separate measures; neither adds points to this calculation. Lower composite scores rank higher.
Duncan Robinson
178.707 composite · No. 1,725 all-time
| Window and finishes used | Average finish | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best 3No. 992025–26No. 1172019–20Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2082020–21 | 141.333 | 50% | 70.667 |
| Best 5No. 992025–26No. 1172019–20Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2082020–21No. 2152023–24No. 2662024–25 | 181.000 | 30% | 54.300 |
| Best 10No. 992025–26No. 1172019–20Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2082020–21No. 2152023–24No. 2662024–25No. 2762021–22No. 3662022–233 open slots × No. 380 | 268.700 | 20% | 53.740 |
70.667 + 54.300 + 53.740= 178.707
Open-season rule: every unfilled slot uses No. 380, this player's stored replacement finish.
Marvin Bagley III
188.433 composite · No. 1,801 all-time
| Window and finishes used | Average finish | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best 3No. 1342025–26No. 1492023–24No. 1812018–19Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | 154.667 | 50% | 77.333 |
| Best 5No. 1342025–26No. 1492023–24No. 1812018–19Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2012022–23No. 2682021–22 | 186.600 | 30% | 55.980 |
| Best 10No. 1342025–26No. 1492023–24No. 1812018–19Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2012022–23No. 2682021–22No. 3192020–214 open slots × No. 376 | 275.600 | 20% | 55.120 |
77.333 + 55.980 + 55.120= 188.433
Open-season rule: every unfilled slot uses No. 376, this player's stored replacement finish.
Averages, contributions, and totals are displayed to three decimal places. The ranking calculation keeps full source precision. Read the full method →
Full comparison · Career comparison
Understand the numbers
Start with impact, then compare playing time and skills. Team results add context. These are not categories to tally into a winner.
1 · Ranking evidence
Impact: who ranks higher, and why?
Career Impact Rank compares entire regular-season careers across NBA history. It combines average league places across the best three, five, and ten seasons, weighted 50%, 30%, and 20%. A lower rank or average place is better.
| Metric | Duncan Robinson | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Career Impact Rank to datePeak-weighted regular-season rank | #1725Better result for this metric. | #1801 |
| Best 3 average finishAverage league place · lower is better | 141.3Better result for this metric. | 154.7 |
| Best 5 average finishAverage league place · lower is better | 181.0Better result for this metric. | 186.6 |
| Best 10 average finishAverage league place · lower is better | 268.7Better result for this metric. | 275.6 |
Show more stats: Impact
| Metric | Duncan Robinson | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Points-above-replacement rankAll-time rank in estimated regular-season points above replacement | #1018Better result for this metric. | #1237 |
| Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better | +0.7 | +1.8Better result for this metric. |
| Best 3 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better | -0.1 | +0.4Better result for this metric. |
| Best 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better | -0.5 | -0.2Better result for this metric. |
| Best 10 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Points above replacementRegular season · fixed -2.0 replacement baseline · higher is better | +295 ptsBetter result for this metric. | +177 pts |
| Seasons ranked No. 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Top-five impact seasons | 0 | 0 |
| Top-ten impact seasons | 0 | 0 |
2 · Playing time and responsibility
How much did each player take on?
Read games and minutes alongside impact. Offensive usage is the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on court. More usage is not automatically better.
| Metric | Duncan Robinson | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 500 | 349 |
| Minutes | 13,127 | 7,675 |
3 · Individual skills
Where does each player have an advantage?
These are each player's averages across up to ten best seasons. Career Impact Rank gives the Best 3, Best 5, and Best 10 average league finishes 50%, 30%, and 20% window weights, giving the most weight to the highest peak. The model accounts for position, role, pace, playing time, and team results. Green marks the better result for a metric, including lower turnover rates. Workload and shot-selection measures stay neutral. These rows are not votes toward the ranking.
Shooting
True shooting includes two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws.
| Metric | Duncan Robinson | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| True shooting percentage | 61.4%Better result for this metric. | 58.2% |
| True shootingAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile | 60.8%Better result for this metric. | 59.1% |
Show more stats: Shooting
| Metric | Duncan Robinson | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Field-goal percentage | 43.7% | 53.1%Better result for this metric. |
| Three-point percentage | 39.9%Better result for this metric. | 30.8% |
| Free-throw percentage | 84.8%Better result for this metric. | 68.5% |
Passing
Assist rate is the share of teammates’ made shots assisted while the player is on court. Read turnovers alongside offensive workload; lower turnover rate is generally better.
| Metric | Duncan Robinson | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Assist rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile | 10.6%Better result for this metric. | 6.9% |
| Assists per game | 1.9Better result for this metric. | 1.0 |
Show more stats: Passing
| Metric | Duncan Robinson | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Turnover rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile | 9.4%Better result for this metric. | 10.0% |
Rebounding
Rebound rate is the share of available rebounds collected while on court.
| Metric | Duncan Robinson | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Rebound rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile | 5.6% | 15.8%Better result for this metric. |
| Rebounds per game | 2.6 | 6.5Better result for this metric. |
Defense
Steals and blocks describe only part of defense. They do not capture every stop, rotation, or matchup.
| Metric | Duncan Robinson | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Steal rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile | 1.0% | 1.0% |
Show more stats: Defense
| Metric | Duncan Robinson | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Block rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile | 0.7% | 2.4%Better result for this metric. |
Scoring
Points per game describe scoring volume, not overall impact.
| Metric | Duncan Robinson | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 11.5 | 11.8Better result for this metric. |
4 · Team context, not ranking inputs
What happened with and without them?
A verified with/without comparison is unavailable for this scope. We do not substitute another season’s observations.
Four separate questions
Impact, winning, playoffs, and awards
These are different ways to understand a career. Only Regular Season Impact determines the hussEyquation verdict. The other three sections add basketball context without adding points or changing the rank.
Career to date. At least one player is active. Every total below stops after the latest completed season in this data; nothing is projected.
Regular Season Impact
Duncan Robinson ranks higher in career impact so far.
Duncan RobinsonMetricMarvin Bagley III
#1725LeadsCareer Impact Rank to datePeak-weighted regular-season rank#1801
+0.7Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+1.8Leads
-0.5Best 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-0.2Leads
+295 ptsLeadsPoints above replacementRegular season · fixed -2.0 replacement baseline · higher is better+177 pts
This is the ranking result. It uses regular-season impact only. Team records, playoffs, and awards do not change it.
Team Success
Duncan Robinson leads every available measure below.
Duncan RobinsonMetricMarvin Bagley III
363LeadsListed-team regular-season wins309
57.0%LeadsListed-team winning percentage32.1%
2Leads50-win team seasons0
1Leads60-win team seasons0
7LeadsPlayoff team seasons1
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.
Playoff Résumé
Duncan Robinson leads every available measure below.
Duncan RobinsonMetricMarvin Bagley III
7LeadsPlayoff appearances1
83LeadsPlayoff games2
46LeadsTeam playoff wins0
2LeadsFinals appearances0
0Championships0
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team playoff results count only seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.
Awards
No recorded measure separates these careers.
Duncan RobinsonMetricMarvin Bagley III
Not availableAll-StarNot available
Not availableMVPNot available
Not availableAll-NBANot available
Not availableAll-DefenseNot available
Not availableDPOYNot available
Not availableRookie of the YearNot available
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Major regular-season honors are recognition, not inputs to the impact ranking.
How each context field is counted
- Listed-team regular-season wins
- The sum of each listed team's final wins in every season the player represented that team.
- Listed-team winning percentage
- Those team wins divided by those teams' total regular-season games.
- 50- and 60-win team seasons
- Listed team-seasons that finished with at least 50 or 60 wins. Shortened seasons are not projected to 82 games.
- Team seasons reaching playoffs
- Listed team-seasons in which that team qualified for the playoffs.
- Playoff appearances and games
- Postseasons and games in which the player appeared.
- Team playoff wins
- Team wins from those postseasons. They describe team results, not individual credit.
- Finals appearances and championships
- Seasons when the player appeared in the playoffs for the finalist or champion.
- Awards
- Recorded NBA selections and major regular-season honors. A zero means the source records none; Not available means the source field is missing.
Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed 2026-10-09. Active-career totals are results to date through the latest completed season in the source.
Career Shape Explorer
How the careers developed
Follow every regular season by NBA experience or age. This view describes the path; it does not create another verdict.
Duncan RobinsonMarvin Bagley IIIPeak seasonHistorical source qualification
Career to date. Active careers stop at the latest completed season; no future seasons are projected.
Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average
Striped bars mark seasons with fewer than 40 games. A dashed mark means that player had no season at the aligned point.
Season-by-season evidenceRead both careers at the same stage
Every observed season keeps its age, era-centered impact estimate, league rank when qualified, career-stage label, and exact evidence link. A missing career point stays missing.
Duncan RobinsonNBA seasonMarvin Bagley III
Season 1
Season 2
Observed values come from the accepted season comparison record. Historical source qualifications stay attached to affected seasons. Missing means no NBA season exists at that aligned point; it is never interpolated. Missing is not the same as estimated.