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Player profile · DET / MIA

Illustrated portrait of NBA player Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson advanced stats and career rankings

RoleSG · Age 31
Availability77 games · 77 starts
Workload27.4 MPG · 2,113 minutes
Relative impactDET #6 of 12 · SG #21 of 109
UpdatedJul 21, 2026
EvidenceStrong

Low ranking precision · Likely rank #29–#312

Bottom line · 2025–26

Duncan Robinson delivered a strong 2025–26 campaign, ranking 100th in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 182nd, led by elite ball security. After adjusting for teammates and opponents, his on-court offense was stronger than the box score indicated, lifting his overall rating. Playing about 2,100 minutes, he finished in the 82nd percentile for total season value.

2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives Duncan Robinson's impact

395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with

Overall value

Impact Rate
75
66.8
Season Value
82
47.4

Scoring role

Usage
29
15.8%
True shooting
86
62.9%
3-point attempt rate
97
76.8%
Free-throw rate
23
15.8%

Creation and control

Assist rate
32
10.1%
Turnover avoidance
98
6.7%

Possession stats

Rebound rate
9
5.4%
Steal rate
9
1.0%
Block rate
34
1.0%

Lineup signal

Offensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
97
+3.24
Defensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
34
−0.58

Workload

Minutes per game
68
27.4
Games played
89
77
Total minutes
84
2,113

Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.

Every season

Duncan Robinson advanced stats by season

Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.

SeasonTeamAgeGPMPEra-centered box impactImpact RateRate rankSeason ValueValue percentileEvidence
2025–26live modelDET31772,113-0.2266.8#10047.482ndStrong
2024–25MIA30741,786-1.2831.7#26625.641stStrong
2023–24MIA29681,905-0.8642.2#21543.651stStrong
2022–23MIA2842691-4.043.4#366-28.39thEstablished
2021–22MIA27792,043-1.7528.4#27610.432ndStrong
2020–21MIA26722,262-0.7143.8#20858.661stStrong
2019–20Historical Defense EstimateMIA25732,166+0.6967.0#117119.578thStrong
2018–19Historical Defense EstimateMIA2415161-5.84-12.6Limited

Career movement

Duncan Robinson's career impact by season

Peak +0.69 in 2019–20 · 8 seasons · 13,127 minutes

The same historical box-score model is used for every season, making the career shape comparable through time. This is separate from the current lineup-context ranking.

Era-centered box impactMinutes
Across-era box estimateWorkload

Career comparison

Compare the shape, not the calendar

Align by NBA experience to compare season one with season one, or by age to compare players at the same stage of life.

Duncan RobinsonMalik Sealy

NBA season number · fixed impact axis −5 to +15

Similar career arcs

Players with careers similar to Duncan Robinson

The score compares era-centered box impact, peak, prime, workload, career length, position, and trajectory aligned by NBA experience. It describes career shape, not playing style or equal ability.

Why this rank?

Why Duncan Robinson ranks #100

The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.

01 · Box-score prior+0.56

Prior rank #182

02 · Multi-season RAPM+2.54

Current total +4.03 ±0.9
Split model · O +3.24 · D -0.58 = +2.66

03 · Bounded correction+0.55

Maximum ±0.75

04 · Model estimate+1.11

Before the within-season scale

05 · MPG-adjusted rate66.8

68.0 unadjusted · 97% role factor · rank #100

RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.

What the point estimate meansLow precision

The model's 80% impact interval is -1.13 to +3.34. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.

Top 25 chance
9%
Top 50 chance
19%
Top 100 chance
36%
80% rank range
#29#312
How to read this page

Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played. The career ranking rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →