56.2 score · 89% MPG role factor
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Player profile · DAL / DET / MEM / SAC / WAS
Marvin Bagley III
Marvin Bagley III advanced stats and career rankings
RolePF · Age 26
Availability60 games · 12 starts
Workload20.0 MPG · 1,201 minutes
Relative impactDAL/WAS #1 of 3 · PF #23 of 76
UpdatedJul 21, 2026
22.2 total value · 395 qualified players
158.6 all-time composite · 8 seasons
Low ranking precision · Likely rank #50–#323
Bottom line · 2025–26
In 2025–26, Marvin Bagley III ranked 133rd in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 83rd, led by rebounding and shot blocking. After adjusting for teammates and opponents, his on-court impact was weaker than the box score indicated, lowering his overall rating. Over about 1,200 minutes, he finished in the 66th percentile for total season value.
2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives Marvin Bagley III's impact
395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with
Overall value
Impact Rate
66
56.2Season Value
66
22.2Scoring role
Usage
51
18.6%True shooting
94
66.1%3-point attempt rate
12
12.7%Free-throw rate
81
35.0%Creation and control
Assist rate
38
10.8%Turnover avoidance
60
11.4%Possession stats
Rebound rate
90
16.3%Steal rate
15
1.1%Block rate
83
3.1%Lineup signal
Offensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
67
+0.84Defensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
15
−1.38Workload
Minutes per game
34
20.0Games played
45
60Total minutes
41
1,201Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.
Every season
Marvin Bagley III advanced stats by season
Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.
| Season | Team | Age | GP | MP | Era-centered box impact | Impact Rate | Rate rank | Season Value | Value percentile | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26live model | DAL/WAS | 26 | 60 | 1,201 | +1.78 | 56.2 | #133 | 22.2 | 66th | Established |
| 2024–25 | MEM/WAS | 25 | 31 | 265 | -3.05 | — | — | -5.9 | — | Limited |
| 2023–24 | DET/WAS | 24 | 50 | 1,053 | +0.14 | 60.0 | #149 | 47.5 | 54th | Strong |
| 2022–23 | DET | 23 | 42 | 990 | -0.82 | 47.1 | #201 | 24.2 | 43rd | Established |
| 2021–22 | DET/SAC | 22 | 48 | 1,153 | -1.63 | 30.5 | #268 | 8.8 | 30th | Strong |
| 2020–21 | SAC | 21 | 43 | 1,112 | -2.75 | 13.6 | #319 | -17.5 | 12th | Strong |
| 2019–20Historical Defense Estimate | SAC | 20 | 13 | 334 | -5.21 | — | — | -22.1 | — | Limited |
| 2018–19Historical Defense Estimate | SAC | 19 | 62 | 1,567 | -0.65 | 51.1 | #181 | 45.5 | 57th | Strong |
Career movement
Marvin Bagley III's career impact by season
Peak +1.78 in 2025–26 · 8 seasons · 7,675 minutes
The same historical box-score model is used for every season, making the career shape comparable through time. This is separate from the current lineup-context ranking.
Era-centered box impactMinutes
Across-era box estimateWorkload
Career comparison
Compare the shape, not the calendar
Align by NBA experience to compare season one with season one, or by age to compare players at the same stage of life.
Marvin Bagley IIIKenrich Williams
NBA season number · fixed impact axis −5 to +15
Similar career arcs
Players with careers similar to Marvin Bagley III
The score compares era-centered box impact, peak, prime, workload, career length, position, and trajectory aligned by NBA experience. It describes career shape, not playing style or equal ability.
PF · All-Time Career #2342
Kenrich Williams
91%career match
93% season match · 2025–26 ↔ 2022–23PF · All-Time Career #840Len Chappell
89%career match
93% season match · 2025–26 ↔ 1967–68PF · All-Time Career #2462Jonas Jerebko
89%career match
96% season match · 2025–26 ↔ 2014–15PF · All-Time Career #314Jack Nichols
89%career match
86% season match · 2025–26 ↔ 1955–56PF · All-Time Career #1211Roy Tarpley
89%career match
89% season match · 2025–26 ↔ 1988–89PF · All-Time Career #1714Richard Anderson
89%career match
92% season match · 2025–26 ↔ 1988–89Why this rank?
Why Marvin Bagley III ranks #133
The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.
Prior rank #83
Current total -0.70 ±1.0
Split model · O +0.84 · D -1.38 = -0.54
Maximum ±0.75
Before the within-season scale
60.1 unadjusted · 89% role factor · rank #133
RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.
What the point estimate meansLow precision
The model's 80% impact interval is -1.35 to +3.15. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.
- Top 25 chance
- 1%
- Top 50 chance
- 10%
- Top 100 chance
- 28%
- 80% rank range
- #50–#323
Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played. The career ranking rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →