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NBA player comparison

Elfrid Payton vs. John Bagley: Career comparison

hussEyquationCareer impact · regular season
Regular-season verdict

John Bagley ranks higher in career impact

Impact comparison

Box impact estimates points per 100 possessions above each season's league average. Higher is better. Career ranks and average league finishes work the other way: lower is better.

#1364Career Impact RankPeak-weighted regular-season rank#1139Leads
+2.0LeadsPeak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+1.7
+0.4LeadsBest 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-0.2
97.0Best 3 average finishAverage league place · lower is better86.3Leads
+392 ptsPoints above replacementCumulative regular-season value+415 ptsLeads
235.9Best 10 average finishAverage league place · lower is better160.7Leads

Career Impact Rank places John Bagley #1139 and Elfrid Payton #1364. It combines league finishes across each player's best three, five, and ten regular seasons, giving the most weight to the best three. Elfrid Payton had the higher single-season impact estimate.

Regular season only. Impact figures are estimates; small gaps are not exact. Playoffs, awards and titles do not determine the verdict.

Career impact · regular seasonhusseyquation.com/compare/elfrid-payton/john-bagley/career
Career Impact RankSee exactly how both rankings are calculatedElfrid Payton135.880 · No. 1,364John Bagley108.847 · No. 1,139

Only the three league-finish windows below determine Career Impact Rank. Career Value and peak impact are separate measures; neither adds points to this calculation. Lower composite scores rank higher.

Elfrid Payton

135.880 composite · No. 1,364 all-time

Elfrid Payton's Career Composite windows
Window and finishes usedAverage finishWeightContribution
Best 3No. 562016–17Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1172017–18Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1182019–20Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate97.00050%48.500
Best 5No. 562016–17Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1172017–18Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1182019–20Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1802018–19Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1992014–15Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate134.00030%40.200
Best 10No. 562016–17Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1172017–18Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1182019–20Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1802018–19Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1992014–15Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2092015–16Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 3532020–21No. 3742024–25No. 3832021–221 open slot × No. 370235.90020%47.180

48.500 + 40.200 + 47.180= 135.880

Open-season rule: every unfilled slot uses No. 370, this player's stored replacement finish.

John Bagley

108.847 composite · No. 1,139 all-time

John Bagley's Career Composite windows
Window and finishes usedAverage finishWeightContribution
Best 3No. 441984–85Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 801985–86Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1351986–87Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate86.33350%43.167
Best 5No. 441984–85Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 801985–86Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1351986–87Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1501983–84Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1501987–88Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate111.80030%33.540
Best 10No. 441984–85Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 801985–86Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1351986–87Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1501983–84Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1501987–88Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1881989–90Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1971988–89Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 1981991–92Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 2091982–83Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate1 open slot × No. 256160.70020%32.140

43.167 + 33.540 + 32.140= 108.847

Open-season rule: every unfilled slot uses No. 256, this player's stored replacement finish.

Averages, contributions, and totals are displayed to three decimal places. The ranking calculation keeps full source precision. Read the full method →

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Full comparison · Career comparison

Understand the numbers

Start with impact, then compare playing time and skills. Team results add context. These are not categories to tally into a winner.

1 · Ranking evidence

Impact: who ranks higher, and why?

Career Impact Rank compares entire regular-season careers across NBA history. It combines average league places across the best three, five, and ten seasons, weighted 50%, 30%, and 20%. A lower rank or average place is better.

Impact: Elfrid Payton and John Bagley
MetricElfrid PaytonJohn Bagley
Career Impact RankPeak-weighted regular-season rank#1364#1139Better result for this metric.
Best 3 average finishAverage league place · lower is better97.086.3Better result for this metric.
Best 5 average finishAverage league place · lower is better134.0111.8Better result for this metric.
Best 10 average finishAverage league place · lower is better235.9160.7Better result for this metric.
Show more stats: Impact
Impact: Elfrid Payton and John Bagley
MetricElfrid PaytonJohn Bagley
Points-above-replacement rankAll-time rank in estimated regular-season points above replacement#904#870Better result for this metric.
Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+2.0Better result for this metric.+1.7
Best 3 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+1.1Better result for this metric.+0.5
Best 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.4Better result for this metric.-0.2
Best 10 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is betterUnavailableUnavailable
Points above replacementRegular season · fixed -2.0 replacement baseline · higher is better+392 pts+415 ptsBetter result for this metric.
Seasons ranked No. 100
Top-five impact seasons00
Top-ten impact seasons00

2 · Playing time and responsibility

How much did each player take on?

Read games and minutes alongside impact. Offensive usage is the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on court. More usage is not automatically better.

Playing time and workload: Elfrid Payton and John Bagley
MetricElfrid PaytonJohn Bagley
Games524665
Minutes13,89417,120

3 · Individual skills

Where does each player have an advantage?

These are each player's averages across up to ten best seasons. Career Impact Rank gives the Best 3, Best 5, and Best 10 average league finishes 50%, 30%, and 20% window weights, giving the most weight to the highest peak. The model accounts for position, role, pace, playing time, and team results. Green marks the better result for a metric, including lower turnover rates. Workload and shot-selection measures stay neutral. These rows are not votes toward the ranking.

Shooting

True shooting includes two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws.

Shooting: Elfrid Payton and John Bagley
MetricElfrid PaytonJohn Bagley
True shooting percentage48.6%48.8%Better result for this metric.
True shootingAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile46.4%48.6%Better result for this metric.
Show more stats: Shooting
Shooting: Elfrid Payton and John Bagley
MetricElfrid PaytonJohn Bagley
Field-goal percentage44.4%Better result for this metric.43.7%
Three-point percentage28.6%Better result for this metric.24.1%
Free-throw percentage62.3%77.9%Better result for this metric.

Passing

Assist rate is the share of teammates’ made shots assisted while the player is on court. Read turnovers alongside offensive workload; lower turnover rate is generally better.

Passing: Elfrid Payton and John Bagley
MetricElfrid PaytonJohn Bagley
Assist rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile32.9%Better result for this metric.31.8%
Assists per game5.86.0Better result for this metric.
Show more stats: Passing
Passing: Elfrid Payton and John Bagley
MetricElfrid PaytonJohn Bagley
Turnover rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile19.3%Better result for this metric.21.0%

Rebounding

Rebound rate is the share of available rebounds collected while on court.

Rebounding: Elfrid Payton and John Bagley
MetricElfrid PaytonJohn Bagley
Rebound rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile8.3%Better result for this metric.5.5%
Rebounds per game4.0Better result for this metric.2.6

Defense

Steals and blocks describe only part of defense. They do not capture every stop, rotation, or matchup.

Defense: Elfrid Payton and John Bagley
MetricElfrid PaytonJohn Bagley
Steal rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile2.2%Better result for this metric.2.1%
Show more stats: Defense
Defense: Elfrid Payton and John Bagley
MetricElfrid PaytonJohn Bagley
Block rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile1.1%Better result for this metric.0.2%

Scoring

Points per game describe scoring volume, not overall impact.

Scoring: Elfrid Payton and John Bagley
MetricElfrid PaytonJohn Bagley
Points per game9.8Better result for this metric.8.7

4 · Team context, not ranking inputs

What happened with and without them?

A verified with/without comparison is unavailable for this scope. We do not substitute another season’s observations.

Four separate questions

Impact, winning, playoffs, and awards

These are different ways to understand a career. Only Regular Season Impact determines the hussEyquation verdict. The other three sections add basketball context without adding points or changing the rank.

Ranking result

Regular Season Impact

John Bagley ranks higher in career impact.

Elfrid PaytonMetricJohn Bagley
#1364Career Impact RankPeak-weighted regular-season rank#1139Leads
+2.0LeadsPeak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+1.7
+0.4LeadsBest 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-0.2
+392 ptsPoints above replacementRegular season · fixed -2.0 replacement baseline · higher is better+415 ptsLeads

This is the ranking result. It uses regular-season impact only. Team records, playoffs, and awards do not change it.

Context

Team Success

The advantages are split across the available measures.

Elfrid PaytonMetricJohn Bagley
334Listed-team regular-season wins400Leads
38.1%Listed-team winning percentage44.3%Leads
150-win team seasons3Leads
1Leads60-win team seasons0
2Playoff team seasons5Leads

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.

Context

Playoff Résumé

John Bagley leads every available measure below.

Elfrid PaytonMetricJohn Bagley
2Playoff appearances3Leads
4Playoff games19Leads
8Team playoff wins9Leads
0Finals appearances0
0Championships0

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team playoff results count only seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.

Context

Awards

No recorded measure separates these careers.

Elfrid PaytonMetricJohn Bagley
Not availableAll-StarNot available
Not availableMVPNot available
Not availableAll-NBANot available
Not availableAll-DefenseNot available
Not availableDPOYNot available
Not availableRookie of the YearNot available

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Major regular-season honors are recognition, not inputs to the impact ranking.

How each context field is counted
Listed-team regular-season wins
The sum of each listed team's final wins in every season the player represented that team.
Listed-team winning percentage
Those team wins divided by those teams' total regular-season games.
50- and 60-win team seasons
Listed team-seasons that finished with at least 50 or 60 wins. Shortened seasons are not projected to 82 games.
Team seasons reaching playoffs
Listed team-seasons in which that team qualified for the playoffs.
Playoff appearances and games
Postseasons and games in which the player appeared.
Team playoff wins
Team wins from those postseasons. They describe team results, not individual credit.
Finals appearances and championships
Seasons when the player appeared in the playoffs for the finalist or champion.
Awards
Recorded NBA selections and major regular-season honors. A zero means the source records none; Not available means the source field is missing.

Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed 2026-10-09.

Career Shape Explorer

How the careers developed

Follow every regular season by NBA experience or age. This view describes the path; it does not create another verdict.

View
Align careers by
Elfrid PaytonJohn BagleyPeak seasonHistorical source qualification

Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average

S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S6
S7
S8
S9
S10
S11

Striped bars mark seasons with fewer than 40 games. A dashed mark means that player had no season at the aligned point.

S means NBA season number; A means player age. Peak labels identify each player's accepted best season. Hover or focus any pair for season detail, or open Season timeline for the complete evidence ledger.