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NBA player comparison

Jarred Vanderbilt vs. Marvin Bagley III: 2025–26 season

hussEyquation2025–26 season · regular-season impact
Regular-season verdict

Marvin Bagley III leads in impact for 2025–26

Marvin Bagley III ranks ahead of Jarred Vanderbilt in estimated impact while playing. This compares regular-season performance, not total contribution across the season.

Impact comparison

Impact estimate is measured in points per 100 possessions above league average. Zero is average; higher is better. Impact Rate rank is a league place, not a 0–100 score: No. 1 is best.

-0.1Impact estimateEstimated points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.9Leads
#277Impact Rate rankLeague place · No. 1 is best#134Leads
-0.89LeadsEstimated defensive impactSelected-season lineup estimate · points per 100 possessions-1.38
+0.05Estimated offensive impactSelected-season lineup estimate · points per 100 possessions+0.84Leads
2.4%LeadsSteal rate1.1%
17.5%Turnover rateLower is better; compare alongside offensive workload11.4%Leads
12.4%Offensive usage18.6%
54.4%True shooting %66.1%Leads
9.6%Assist rateShare of teammates’ made shots assisted while on court10.8%Leads
15.2%Rebound rateShare of available rebounds collected while on court16.3%Leads
65Games60
1,128Minutes1,201

Marvin Bagley III's estimated impact per 100 possessions was +0.9, compared with -0.1 for Jarred Vanderbilt. This compares their impact while playing, not their total contribution across the season. Both players are compared in the 2025–26 season using its published Impact Rate. A ranked comparison requires at least 450 minutes for each player.

Jarred Vanderbilt: 65 games and 1,128 minutes. Marvin Bagley III: 60 games and 1,201 minutes. Playing time matters when judging the whole season; the impact estimate above is a rate, not a season total.

Marvin Bagley III ended a larger share of his team’s possessions, so the turnover rates are not an equal-workload comparison. Offensive usage measures the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on the court—not every touch, pass, or act of playmaking. These rows provide context; they are not extra points added to the ranking.

Regular season only. Impact figures are estimates; small gaps are not exact. Playoffs, awards and titles do not determine the verdict.

2025–26 season · regular-season impacthusseyquation.com/compare/jarred-vanderbilt/marvin-bagley-iii/2025-26

Behind the estimate

Why the model rates them this way

The model starts with each player’s recorded individual stats, then adjusts that estimate using lineup results. The first two rows add up to the final estimate. All figures are points per 100 possessions.

Jarred VanderbiltMetricMarvin Bagley III
-0.04From recorded individual stats+1.29Leads
-0.01LeadsAdjustment from recent lineup results-0.39
-0.05Final estimated impact+0.90Leads

Lineup evidence: Jarred Vanderbilt — 3 seasons; Marvin Bagley III — 3 seasons. This adjustment is not necessarily based on the selected season alone.

Offensive and defensive lineup estimates for the selected season

These selected-season estimates account for who played alongside and against each player. Positive means better than average; a positive defensive figure means fewer points allowed. They are separate estimates—not additional points added to the calculation above. They do not measure how much individual teammates improved.

Jarred VanderbiltMetricMarvin Bagley III
+0.05Adjusted offensive impact+0.84Leads
-0.89LeadsAdjusted defensive impact-1.38

What this does not establish: these figures do not prove that either player made his teammates shoot better. A verified teammate-shooting comparison is unavailable for this selected season. A small difference in the estimates is not a decisive basketball distinction.

Share this comparisonSocial card: every summary row. Link preview: six key figures.

Full comparison · 2025–26 season

Understand the numbers

Start with impact, then compare playing time and skills. Team results add context. These are not categories to tally into a winner.

1 · Ranking evidence

Impact: who ranks higher, and why?

The impact estimate compares performance while playing, not total contribution over the season. The individual-stat estimate plus the lineup adjustment gives the final estimate.

Impact: Jarred Vanderbilt and Marvin Bagley III
MetricJarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III
Impact estimateEstimated points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better-0.1+0.9Better result for this metric.
Impact Rate rankLeague place · No. 1 is best#277#134Better result for this metric.
From recorded individual stats-0.04+1.29Better result for this metric.
Adjustment from recent lineup results-0.01Better result for this metric.-0.39

Jarred Vanderbilt: 3 seasons of lineup evidence. Marvin Bagley III: 3 seasons of lineup evidence. The adjustment is not necessarily based on this season alone.

Show more stats: Impact
Impact: Jarred Vanderbilt and Marvin Bagley III
MetricJarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III
Final estimated impact-0.05+0.90Better result for this metric.

2 · Playing time and responsibility

How much did each player take on?

Read games and minutes alongside impact. Offensive usage is the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on court. More usage is not automatically better.

Playing time and workload: Jarred Vanderbilt and Marvin Bagley III
MetricJarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III
Games6560
Minutes1,1281,201
Offensive usage12.4%18.6%

3 · Individual skills

Where does each player have an advantage?

These figures describe the selected regular seasons. They provide context, not extra points added to the verdict. Green marks the better result for a metric, including lower turnover rates. Workload and shot-selection measures stay neutral. These rows are not votes toward the ranking.

Shooting

True shooting includes two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws.

Shooting: Jarred Vanderbilt and Marvin Bagley III
MetricJarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III
True shooting percentage54.4%66.1%Better result for this metric.
Show more stats: Shooting
Shooting: Jarred Vanderbilt and Marvin Bagley III
MetricJarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III
Field-goal percentage47.1%61.8%Better result for this metric.
Three-point percentage29.3%46.2%Better result for this metric.
Free-throw percentage58.9%66.0%Better result for this metric.
Three-point attempt rateShare of field-goal attempts taken from three; describes shot selection, not quality41.3%12.7%

Passing

Assist rate is the share of teammates’ made shots assisted while the player is on court. Read turnovers alongside offensive workload; lower turnover rate is generally better.

Passing: Jarred Vanderbilt and Marvin Bagley III
MetricJarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III
Assist rateShare of teammates’ made shots assisted while on court9.6%10.8%Better result for this metric.
Assists per game1.31.4Better result for this metric.
Show more stats: Passing
Passing: Jarred Vanderbilt and Marvin Bagley III
MetricJarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III
Turnover rateLower is better; compare alongside offensive workload17.5%11.4%Better result for this metric.

Rebounding

Rebound rate is the share of available rebounds collected while on court.

Rebounding: Jarred Vanderbilt and Marvin Bagley III
MetricJarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III
Rebound rateShare of available rebounds collected while on court15.2%16.3%Better result for this metric.
Rebounds per game4.56.1Better result for this metric.

Defense

Steals and blocks describe only part of defense. They do not capture every stop, rotation, or matchup.

Defense: Jarred Vanderbilt and Marvin Bagley III
MetricJarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III
Steal rate2.4%Better result for this metric.1.1%
Show more stats: Defense
Defense: Jarred Vanderbilt and Marvin Bagley III
MetricJarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III
Block rateShare of opponents’ two-point attempts blocked while on court1.6%3.1%Better result for this metric.

Scoring

Points per game describe scoring volume, not overall impact.

Scoring: Jarred Vanderbilt and Marvin Bagley III
MetricJarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III
Points per game4.410.4Better result for this metric.

4 · Team context, not ranking inputs

What happened with and without them?

A verified with/without comparison is unavailable for this scope. We do not substitute another season’s observations.

Selected-season adjusted lineup estimates

These account for who played alongside and against each player. Positive defense means fewer points allowed. They are separate from the observed results and are not additional points added to the model calculation.

Adjusted lineup estimates: Jarred Vanderbilt and Marvin Bagley III
MetricJarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III
Adjusted offensive impact+0.05+0.84Better result for this metric.
Adjusted defensive impact-0.89Better result for this metric.-1.38

Four separate questions

Impact, winning, playoffs, and awards

These are different ways to understand a career. Only Regular Season Impact determines the hussEyquation verdict. The other three sections add basketball context without adding points or changing the rank.

Career to date. At least one player is active. Every total below stops after the latest completed season in this data; nothing is projected.

Ranking result

Regular Season Impact

Marvin Bagley III leads in impact for 2025–26.

Jarred VanderbiltMetricMarvin Bagley III
-0.1Impact estimateEstimated points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better+0.9Leads
#277Impact Rate rankLeague place · No. 1 is best#134Leads

This is the ranking result. It uses regular-season impact only. Team records, playoffs, and awards do not change it.

Context

Team Success

Jarred Vanderbilt leads every available measure below.

Jarred VanderbiltMetricMarvin Bagley III
418LeadsListed-team regular-season wins309
53.4%LeadsListed-team winning percentage32.1%
3Leads50-win team seasons0
060-win team seasons0
7LeadsPlayoff team seasons1

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.

Context

Playoff Résumé

Jarred Vanderbilt leads every available measure below.

Jarred VanderbiltMetricMarvin Bagley III
5LeadsPlayoff appearances1
36LeadsPlayoff games2
22LeadsTeam playoff wins0
0Finals appearances0
0Championships0

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team playoff results count only seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.

Context

Awards

No recorded measure separates these careers.

Jarred VanderbiltMetricMarvin Bagley III
Not availableAll-StarNot available
Not availableMVPNot available
Not availableAll-NBANot available
Not availableAll-DefenseNot available
Not availableDPOYNot available
Not availableRookie of the YearNot available

Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Major regular-season honors are recognition, not inputs to the impact ranking.

How each context field is counted
Listed-team regular-season wins
The sum of each listed team's final wins in every season the player represented that team.
Listed-team winning percentage
Those team wins divided by those teams' total regular-season games.
50- and 60-win team seasons
Listed team-seasons that finished with at least 50 or 60 wins. Shortened seasons are not projected to 82 games.
Team seasons reaching playoffs
Listed team-seasons in which that team qualified for the playoffs.
Playoff appearances and games
Postseasons and games in which the player appeared.
Team playoff wins
Team wins from those postseasons. They describe team results, not individual credit.
Finals appearances and championships
Seasons when the player appeared in the playoffs for the finalist or champion.
Awards
Recorded NBA selections and major regular-season honors. A zero means the source records none; Not available means the source field is missing.

Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed 2026-10-09. Active-career totals are results to date through the latest completed season in the source.

Selected seasons

Box impact

Both bars show the same NBA season. Missing or unqualified data does not establish a winner.

Jarred VanderbiltMarvin Bagley III

Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average

1
Both bars show the same NBA season. Missing or unqualified data does not establish a winner.