Jimmy Butler
2025–26
NBA player comparison
Jimmy Butler vs. Paul George: 2025–26 season
Regular-season verdict
Jimmy Butler has the higher model estimate for the 2025–26 season
This is a model estimate for the selected season. Its lineup adjustment also draws on earlier seasons; it is not a measurement of this season’s teammate improvement.
Paul George
2025–26
Impact comparison
+3.0LeadsSeason impactEstimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average+1.7
#8LeadsSeason impact rank#41
+1.89LeadsEstimated defensive impactSelected-season lineup estimate · points per 100 possessions+0.47
+2.94LeadsEstimated offensive impactSelected-season lineup estimate · points per 100 possessions+0.33
2.3%Steal rate2.6%Leads
9.3%LeadsTurnover rateLower is better; compare alongside offensive workload10.2%
23.3%Offensive usage23.3%
64.6%LeadsTrue shooting %57.0%
24.3%LeadsAssist rateShare of teammates’ made shots assisted while on court17.7%
10.0%LeadsRebound rateShare of available rebounds collected while on court9.4%
38Games37
1,182Minutes1,135
Jimmy Butler's estimated impact per 100 possessions was +3.0, compared with +1.7 for Paul George. This compares their impact while playing, not their total contribution across the season. Both players are compared in the 2025–26 season using its published Impact Rate. A ranked comparison requires at least 450 minutes for each player.
Jimmy Butler: 38 games and 1,182 minutes. Paul George: 37 games and 1,135 minutes. Playing time matters when judging the whole season; the impact estimate above is a rate, not a season total.
Read turnover rate alongside offensive workload. Offensive usage measures the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on the court—not every touch, pass, or act of playmaking. These rows provide context; they are not extra points added to the ranking.
Regular season only. Impact figures are estimates; small gaps are not exact. Playoffs, awards and titles do not determine the verdict.
Behind the estimate
Why the model rates them this way
The model starts with each player’s recorded individual stats, then adjusts that estimate using lineup results. The first two rows add up to the final estimate. All figures are points per 100 possessions.
Jimmy ButlerMetricPaul George
+2.84LeadsFrom recorded individual stats+1.46
+0.20Adjustment from recent lineup results+0.21Leads
+3.04LeadsFinal estimated impact+1.67
Lineup evidence: Jimmy Butler — 3 seasons; Paul George — 3 seasons. This adjustment is not necessarily based on the selected season alone.
Offensive and defensive lineup estimates for the selected season
These selected-season estimates account for who played alongside and against each player. Positive means better than average; a positive defensive figure means fewer points allowed. They are separate estimates—not additional points added to the calculation above. They do not measure how much individual teammates improved.
Jimmy ButlerMetricPaul George
+2.94LeadsAdjusted offensive impact+0.33
+1.89LeadsAdjusted defensive impact+0.47
What this does not establish: these figures do not prove that either player made his teammates shoot better. The observed with/without results below answer a different question and do not change the ranking. A small difference in the estimates is not a decisive basketball distinction.
Full comparison · 2025–26 season
Understand the numbers
Start with impact, then compare playing time and skills. Team results add context. These are not categories to tally into a winner.
1 · Ranking evidence
Impact: who ranks higher, and why?
The impact estimate compares performance while playing, not total contribution over the season. The individual-stat estimate plus the lineup adjustment gives the final estimate.
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Season impactEstimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average | +3.0Better result for this metric. | +1.7 |
| Season impact rank | #8Better result for this metric. | #41 |
| From recorded individual stats | +2.84Better result for this metric. | +1.46 |
| Adjustment from recent lineup results | +0.20 | +0.21Better result for this metric. |
Jimmy Butler: 3 seasons of lineup evidence. Paul George: 3 seasons of lineup evidence. The adjustment is not necessarily based on this season alone.
Show more stats: Impact
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Final estimated impact | +3.04Better result for this metric. | +1.67 |
2 · Playing time and responsibility
How much did each player take on?
Read games and minutes alongside impact. Offensive usage is the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on court. More usage is not automatically better.
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 38 | 37 |
| Minutes | 1,182 | 1,135 |
| Offensive usage | 23.3% | 23.3% |
3 · Individual skills
Where does each player have an advantage?
These figures describe the selected regular seasons. They provide context, not extra points added to the verdict. Green marks the better result for a metric, including lower turnover rates. Workload and shot-selection measures stay neutral. These rows are not votes toward the ranking.
Shooting
True shooting includes two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws.
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| True shooting percentage | 64.6%Better result for this metric. | 57.0% |
Show more stats: Shooting
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Field-goal percentage | 51.9%Better result for this metric. | 43.9% |
| Three-point percentage | 37.6% | 39.2%Better result for this metric. |
| Free-throw percentage | 86.4%Better result for this metric. | 82.0% |
| Three-point attempt rateShare of field-goal attempts taken from three; describes shot selection, not quality | 18.4% | 49.7% |
Passing
Assist rate is the share of teammates’ made shots assisted while the player is on court. Read turnovers alongside offensive workload; lower turnover rate is generally better.
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Assist rateShare of teammates’ made shots assisted while on court | 24.3%Better result for this metric. | 17.7% |
| Assists per game | 4.9Better result for this metric. | 3.6 |
Show more stats: Passing
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Turnover rateLower is better; compare alongside offensive workload | 9.3%Better result for this metric. | 10.2% |
Rebounding
Rebound rate is the share of available rebounds collected while on court.
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Rebound rateShare of available rebounds collected while on court | 10.0%Better result for this metric. | 9.4% |
| Rebounds per game | 5.6Better result for this metric. | 5.3 |
Defense
Steals and blocks describe only part of defense. They do not capture every stop, rotation, or matchup.
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Steal rate | 2.3% | 2.6%Better result for this metric. |
Show more stats: Defense
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Block rateShare of opponents’ two-point attempts blocked while on court | 0.6% | 1.3%Better result for this metric. |
Scoring
Points per game describe scoring volume, not overall impact.
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 20.0Better result for this metric. | 17.3 |
4 · Team context, not ranking inputs
What happened with and without them?
These are observed results, not adjusted model estimates. Different teammates, opponents, injuries, and substitutions can explain some of the difference. They do not establish cause and effect or change the ranking.
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Change in team scoringPositive means more points scored; not adjusted for lineups | Unavailable | +3.02 |
| Improvement in team defensePositive means fewer points allowed with him; not adjusted for lineups | Unavailable | +1.82 |
| Teammate shooting differencePercentage-point difference, not relative percent change; not proof of causation | Unavailable | +0.8% |
Incomplete samples. Jimmy Butler: sample unavailable. Paul George: 1,080 of 1,135 recorded player minutes covered (95.2%), and 2,800 minutes without him. Missing minutes are not zero. Minute coverage is not a possession count.
Show more stats: Observed team results
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Team scoring — with himPoints scored per 100 possessions | Unavailable | 117.8 |
| Team scoring — without himPoints scored per 100 possessions | Unavailable | 114.8 |
| Points allowed — with himOpponent points per 100 possessions | Unavailable | 113.9 |
| Points allowed — without himOpponent points per 100 possessions | Unavailable | 115.7 |
| Teammate shooting — with himWeighted same-teammate shooting percentage, with extra credit for threes | Unavailable | 54.1% |
| Teammate shooting — without himUses the same teammates and weights as the with-player row | Unavailable | 53.3% |
How teammate shooting is calculated
We exclude the player’s own shots and compare the same teammates with and without him. Each teammate needs at least 100 minutes in both situations. Both averages use the smaller of each teammate’s two minute totals as the weight. Three-pointers receive extra credit. Differences are percentage points, not relative percentage increases. This is an average of teammate rates, not pooled team shooting.
Paul George: 9 qualifying teammates
- Andre Drummond: 51.9% with him (275 minutes), 52.1% without him (904 minutes).
- Joel Embiid: 52.0% with him (558 minutes), 53.3% without him (643 minutes).
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 51.5% with him (265 minutes), 55.4% without him (1,254 minutes).
- Quentin Grimes: 53.8% with him (476 minutes), 53.3% without him (1,685 minutes).
- Tyrese Maxey: 53.6% with him (791 minutes), 53.7% without him (1,804 minutes).
- Dominick Barlow: 56.7% with him (458 minutes), 56.6% without him (1,195 minutes).
- Adem Bona: 66.7% with him (247 minutes), 58.7% without him (951 minutes).
- Jared McCain: 40.5% with him (208 minutes), 51.9% without him (412 minutes).
- VJ Edgecombe: 56.1% with him (793 minutes), 49.3% without him (1,759 minutes).
Sample retrieved 2026-10-12. Source rates are rounded.
Selected-season adjusted lineup estimates
These account for who played alongside and against each player. Positive defense means fewer points allowed. They are separate from the observed results and are not additional points added to the model calculation.
| Metric | Jimmy Butler | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted offensive impact | +2.94Better result for this metric. | +0.33 |
| Adjusted defensive impact | +1.89Better result for this metric. | +0.47 |
Four separate questions
Impact, winning, playoffs, and awards
These are different ways to understand a career. Only Regular Season Impact determines the hussEyquation verdict. The other three sections add basketball context without adding points or changing the rank.
Career to date. At least one player is active. Every total below stops after the latest completed season in this data; nothing is projected.
Regular Season Impact
Jimmy Butler has the higher model estimate for the 2025–26 season.
Jimmy ButlerMetricPaul George
+3.0LeadsSeason impactEstimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average+1.7
#8LeadsSeason impact rank#41
This is the ranking result. It uses regular-season impact only. Team records, playoffs, and awards do not change it.
Team Success
Jimmy Butler leads every available measure below.
Jimmy ButlerMetricPaul George
759LeadsListed-team regular-season wins708
55.8%LeadsListed-team winning percentage55.5%
4Leads50-win team seasons2
060-win team seasons0
14LeadsPlayoff team seasons13
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.
Playoff Résumé
Jimmy Butler leads every available measure below.
Jimmy ButlerMetricPaul George
12Playoff appearances12
130LeadsPlayoff games125
67LeadsTeam playoff wins57
2LeadsFinals appearances0
0Championships0
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team playoff results count only seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.
Awards
The advantages are split across the available measures.
Jimmy ButlerMetricPaul George
6All-Star9Leads
0MVP0
5All-NBA6Leads
5LeadsAll-Defense4
0DPOY0
0Rookie of the Year0
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Major regular-season honors are recognition, not inputs to the impact ranking.
How each context field is counted
- Listed-team regular-season wins
- The sum of each listed team's final wins in every season the player represented that team.
- Listed-team winning percentage
- Those team wins divided by those teams' total regular-season games.
- 50- and 60-win team seasons
- Listed team-seasons that finished with at least 50 or 60 wins. Shortened seasons are not projected to 82 games.
- Team seasons reaching playoffs
- Listed team-seasons in which that team qualified for the playoffs.
- Playoff appearances and games
- Postseasons and games in which the player appeared.
- Team playoff wins
- Team wins from those postseasons. They describe team results, not individual credit.
- Finals appearances and championships
- Seasons when the player appeared in the playoffs for the finalist or champion.
- Awards
- Recorded NBA selections and major regular-season honors. A zero means the source records none; Not available means the source field is missing.
Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed 2026-10-09. Active-career totals are results to date through the latest completed season in the source.
Selected seasons
Era-centered impact
Both bars show the same NBA season. Missing or unqualified data does not establish a winner.
Jimmy ButlerPaul George
Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average
Striped bars mark seasons with fewer than 40 games. A dashed mark means that player had no season at the aligned point.