
Larry Bird
1979–80 to 1991–92 · 13 seasons
NBA player comparison

1979–80 to 1991–92 · 13 seasons

1979–80 to 1995–96 · 13 seasons
Box impact estimates points per 100 possessions above each season's league average. Higher is better. Career ranks and average league finishes work the other way: lower is better.
Career Impact Rank places Larry Bird #9 and Magic Johnson #11. It combines league finishes across each player's best three, five, and ten regular seasons, giving the most weight to the best three. Magic Johnson had the higher single-season impact estimate and more total career value.
Regular season only. Impact figures are estimates; small gaps are not exact. Playoffs, awards and titles do not determine the verdict.
Read the result
Bird’s best three seasons averaged 1.0 in league place, compared with 1.7 for Magic. Over the best five, the averages were 1.2 and 1.8. Closer to first place is better. Bird reached No. 1 in 4 seasons, compared with 1 for Magic. His career averages of 24.3 points and 10.0 rebounds per game, compared with Magic’s 19.5 and 7.2, also show the scoring and rebounding side of his case. Those averages describe his production, not a separate calculation of impact.
Compare their best league finishes →Magic’s best season has the higher impact estimate: +9.6 versus Bird’s +8.8 points per 100 possessions above that season’s league average. Magic also has the better ten-season average league place, 2.7 versus 3.7, and more total estimated regular-season value, +6,378 pts versus +6,247 pts. Those totals add estimated contribution across playing time above a replacement-level player; they are not points actually scored. He averaged 11.2 assists per game to Bird’s 6.3. Magic’s teams also won 5 championships and reached 9 Finals, compared with 3 titles and 5 Finals for Bird’s teams. Choosing Magic does not require dismissing the model: several of its own measures favor him.
Compare playmaking, total value, and team achievements →Career Impact Rank places Bird #9 and Magic #11. It uses league places, not the raw size of the impact estimates, and weights the best three, five, and ten finishes at 50%, 30%, and 20%. Bird’s stronger three- and five-season league finishes outweigh Magic’s stronger ten-season finish under that rule. A higher impact estimate does not automatically mean a better league place: the other players competing in that season matter too. That explains the order, not a decisive basketball advantage. Championships and Finals appearances describe team achievements, not points added to the model or a measure of individual playoff impact. The comparison scores the seasons they played; it does not invent extra healthy seasons for either player.
Inspect both career calculations →Only the three league-finish windows below determine Career Impact Rank. Career Value and peak impact are separate measures; neither adds points to this calculation. Lower composite scores rank higher.
1.600 composite · No. 9 all-time
| Window and finishes used | Average finish | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best 3No. 11982–83Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 11983–84Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 11984–85Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | 1.000 | 50% | 0.500 |
| Best 5No. 11982–83Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 11983–84Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 11984–85Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 11985–86Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21986–87Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | 1.200 | 30% | 0.360 |
| Best 10No. 11982–83Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 11983–84Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 11984–85Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 11985–86Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21986–87Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 31981–82Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 31987–88Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 61991–92Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 91980–81Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 101979–80Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | 3.700 | 20% | 0.740 |
0.500 + 0.360 + 0.740= 1.600
1.913 composite · No. 11 all-time
| Window and finishes used | Average finish | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best 3No. 11980–81Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21981–82Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21982–83Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | 1.667 | 50% | 0.833 |
| Best 5No. 11980–81Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21981–82Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21982–83Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21983–84Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21988–89Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | 1.800 | 30% | 0.540 |
| Best 10No. 11980–81Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21981–82Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21982–83Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21983–84Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21988–89Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 21989–90Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 31985–86Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 31986–87Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 51979–80Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimateNo. 51984–85Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | 2.700 | 20% | 0.540 |
0.833 + 0.540 + 0.540= 1.913
Averages, contributions, and totals are displayed to three decimal places. The ranking calculation keeps full source precision. Read the full method →
Full comparison · Career comparison
Start with impact, then compare playing time and skills. Team results add context. These are not categories to tally into a winner.
1 · Ranking evidence
Career Impact Rank compares entire regular-season careers across NBA history. It combines average league places across the best three, five, and ten seasons, weighted 50%, 30%, and 20%. A lower rank or average place is better.
| Metric | Larry Bird | Magic Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Career Impact RankPeak-weighted regular-season rank | #9Better result for this metric. | #11 |
| Best 3 average finishAverage league place · lower is better | 1.0Better result for this metric. | 1.7 |
| Best 5 average finishAverage league place · lower is better | 1.2Better result for this metric. | 1.8 |
| Best 10 average finishAverage league place · lower is better | 3.7 | 2.7Better result for this metric. |
| Metric | Larry Bird | Magic Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Points-above-replacement rankAll-time rank in estimated regular-season points above replacement | #20 | #16Better result for this metric. |
| Peak box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better | +8.8 | +9.6Better result for this metric. |
| Best 3 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better | +8.7 | +9.2Better result for this metric. |
| Best 5 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better | +8.5 | +8.7Better result for this metric. |
| Best 10 average box impactEra-adjusted points per 100 possessions above league average · higher is better | +7.2 | +7.7Better result for this metric. |
| Points above replacementRegular season · fixed -2.0 replacement baseline · higher is better | +6,247 pts | +6,378 ptsBetter result for this metric. |
| Seasons ranked No. 1 | 4Better result for this metric. | 1 |
| Top-five impact seasons | 7 | 11Better result for this metric. |
| Top-ten impact seasons | 10 | 12Better result for this metric. |
2 · Playing time and responsibility
Read games and minutes alongside impact. Offensive usage is the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on court. More usage is not automatically better.
| Metric | Larry Bird | Magic Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 897 | 906 |
| Minutes | 34,443 | 33,245 |
3 · Individual skills
These are each player's averages across up to ten best seasons. Career Impact Rank gives the Best 3, Best 5, and Best 10 average league finishes 50%, 30%, and 20% window weights, giving the most weight to the highest peak. The model accounts for position, role, pace, playing time, and team results. Green marks the better result for a metric, including lower turnover rates. Workload and shot-selection measures stay neutral. These rows are not votes toward the ranking.
True shooting includes two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws.
| Metric | Larry Bird | Magic Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| True shooting percentage | 56.4% | 61.0%Better result for this metric. |
| True shootingAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile | 56.8% | 61.2%Better result for this metric. |
| Metric | Larry Bird | Magic Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Field-goal percentage | 49.6% | 52.0%Better result for this metric. |
| Three-point percentage | 37.6%Better result for this metric. | 30.3% |
| Free-throw percentage | 88.6%Better result for this metric. | 84.8% |
Assist rate is the share of teammates’ made shots assisted while the player is on court. Read turnovers alongside offensive workload; lower turnover rate is generally better.
| Metric | Larry Bird | Magic Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Assist rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile | 25.9% | 41.8%Better result for this metric. |
| Assists per game | 6.3 | 11.2Better result for this metric. |
| Metric | Larry Bird | Magic Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Turnover rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile | 12.5%Better result for this metric. | 19.5% |
Rebound rate is the share of available rebounds collected while on court.
| Metric | Larry Bird | Magic Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Rebound rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile | 14.2%Better result for this metric. | 11.2% |
| Rebounds per game | 10.0Better result for this metric. | 7.2 |
Steals and blocks describe only part of defense. They do not capture every stop, rotation, or matchup.
| Metric | Larry Bird | Magic Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Steal rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile | 2.1% | 2.5%Better result for this metric. |
| Metric | Larry Bird | Magic Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Block rateAverage across the best impact seasons selected for the model input profile | 1.3%Better result for this metric. | 0.6% |
Points per game describe scoring volume, not overall impact.
| Metric | Larry Bird | Magic Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 24.3Better result for this metric. | 19.5 |
4 · Team context, not ranking inputs
A verified with/without comparison is unavailable for this scope. We do not substitute another season’s observations.
Four separate questions
These are different ways to understand a career. Only Regular Season Impact determines the hussEyquation verdict. The other three sections add basketball context without adding points or changing the rank.
Larry Bird ranks higher in career impact.
This is the ranking result. It uses regular-season impact only. Team records, playoffs, and awards do not change it.
Magic Johnson leads every available measure below.
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.
Magic Johnson leads every available measure below.
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team playoff results count only seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.
Larry Bird leads every available measure below.
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Major regular-season honors are recognition, not inputs to the impact ranking.
Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed 2026-10-09.
Career Shape Explorer
Follow every regular season by NBA experience or age. This view describes the path; it does not create another verdict.
Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average
Striped bars mark seasons with fewer than 40 games. A dashed mark means that player had no season at the aligned point.
Every observed season keeps its age, era-centered impact estimate, league rank when qualified, career-stage label, and exact evidence link. A missing career point stays missing.
Observed values come from the accepted season comparison record. Historical source qualifications stay attached to affected seasons. Missing means no NBA season exists at that aligned point; it is never interpolated. Missing is not the same as estimated.