Nikola Jokić
2025–26
NBA player comparison
Nikola Jokić vs. Giannis Antetokounmpo: 2025–26 season
Regular-season verdict
Nikola Jokić has the higher model estimate for the 2025–26 season
This is a model estimate for the selected season. Its lineup adjustment also draws on earlier seasons; it is not a measurement of this season’s teammate improvement.
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2025–26
Impact comparison
+6.0LeadsSeason impactEstimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average+4.8
#1LeadsSeason impact rank#4
+0.71LeadsEstimated defensive impactSelected-season lineup estimate · points per 100 possessions+0.48
+5.07LeadsEstimated offensive impactSelected-season lineup estimate · points per 100 possessions+3.90
2.0%LeadsSteal rate1.6%
15.3%Turnover rateLower is better; compare alongside offensive workload13.2%Leads
30.4%Offensive usage37.0%
67.0%LeadsTrue shooting %65.8%
50.3%LeadsAssist rateShare of teammates’ made shots assisted while on court38.7%
20.7%LeadsRebound rateShare of available rebounds collected while on court19.2%
65Games36
2,265Minutes1,039
Nikola Jokić's estimated impact per 100 possessions was +6.0, compared with +4.8 for Giannis Antetokounmpo. This compares their impact while playing, not their total contribution across the season. Both players are compared in the 2025–26 season using its published Impact Rate. A ranked comparison requires at least 450 minutes for each player.
Nikola Jokić: 65 games and 2,265 minutes. Giannis Antetokounmpo: 36 games and 1,039 minutes. Playing time matters when judging the whole season; the impact estimate above is a rate, not a season total.
Giannis Antetokounmpo ended a larger share of his team’s possessions, so the turnover rates are not an equal-workload comparison. Offensive usage measures the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on the court—not every touch, pass, or act of playmaking. These rows provide context; they are not extra points added to the ranking.
Regular season only. Impact figures are estimates; small gaps are not exact. Playoffs, awards and titles do not determine the verdict.
Behind the estimate
Why the model rates them this way
The model starts with each player’s recorded individual stats, then adjusts that estimate using lineup results. The first two rows add up to the final estimate. All figures are points per 100 possessions.
Nikola JokićMetricGiannis Antetokounmpo
+5.68LeadsFrom recorded individual stats+4.66
+0.30LeadsAdjustment from recent lineup results+0.17
+5.98LeadsFinal estimated impact+4.83
Lineup evidence: Nikola Jokić — 3 seasons; Giannis Antetokounmpo — 3 seasons. This adjustment is not necessarily based on the selected season alone.
Offensive and defensive lineup estimates for the selected season
These selected-season estimates account for who played alongside and against each player. Positive means better than average; a positive defensive figure means fewer points allowed. They are separate estimates—not additional points added to the calculation above. They do not measure how much individual teammates improved.
Nikola JokićMetricGiannis Antetokounmpo
+5.07LeadsAdjusted offensive impact+3.90
+0.71LeadsAdjusted defensive impact+0.48
What this does not establish: these figures do not prove that either player made his teammates shoot better. A verified teammate-shooting comparison is unavailable for this selected season. A small difference in the estimates is not a decisive basketball distinction.
Full comparison · 2025–26 season
Understand the numbers
Start with impact, then compare playing time and skills. Team results add context. These are not categories to tally into a winner.
1 · Ranking evidence
Impact: who ranks higher, and why?
The impact estimate compares performance while playing, not total contribution over the season. The individual-stat estimate plus the lineup adjustment gives the final estimate.
| Metric | Nikola Jokić | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Season impactEstimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average | +6.0 | +4.8 |
| Season impact rank | #1 | #4 |
| From recorded individual stats | +5.68 | +4.66 |
| Adjustment from recent lineup results | +0.30 | +0.17 |
Nikola Jokić: 3 seasons of lineup evidence. Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3 seasons of lineup evidence. The adjustment is not necessarily based on this season alone.
Show more stats: Impact
| Metric | Nikola Jokić | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Final estimated impact | +5.98 | +4.83 |
2 · Playing time and responsibility
How much did each player take on?
Read games and minutes alongside impact. Offensive usage is the share of team plays a player ends with a shot, free throws, or a turnover while on court. More usage is not automatically better.
| Metric | Nikola Jokić | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 65 | 36 |
| Minutes | 2,265 | 1,039 |
| Offensive usage | 30.4% | 37.0% |
3 · Individual skills
Where does each player have an advantage?
These figures describe the selected regular seasons. They provide context, not extra points added to the verdict. Green marks a higher impact result above; these skill rows are not votes toward the ranking.
Shooting
True shooting includes two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws.
| Metric | Nikola Jokić | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| True shooting percentage | 67.0% | 65.8% |
Show more stats: Shooting
| Metric | Nikola Jokić | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Field-goal percentage | 56.9% | 62.4% |
| Three-point percentage | 38.0% | 33.3% |
| Free-throw percentage | 83.1% | 65.0% |
| Three-point attempt rateShare of field-goal attempts taken from three; describes shot selection, not quality | 26.1% | 7.5% |
Passing
Assist rate is the share of teammates’ made shots assisted while the player is on court. Read turnovers alongside offensive workload; lower turnover rate is generally better.
| Metric | Nikola Jokić | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Assist rateShare of teammates’ made shots assisted while on court | 50.3% | 38.7% |
| Assists per game | 10.7 | 5.4 |
Show more stats: Passing
| Metric | Nikola Jokić | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Turnover rateLower is better; compare alongside offensive workload | 15.3% | 13.2% |
Rebounding
Rebound rate is the share of available rebounds collected while on court.
| Metric | Nikola Jokić | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Rebound rateShare of available rebounds collected while on court | 20.7% | 19.2% |
| Rebounds per game | 12.9 | 9.8 |
Defense
Steals and blocks describe only part of defense. They do not capture every stop, rotation, or matchup.
| Metric | Nikola Jokić | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Steal rate | 2.0% | 1.6% |
Show more stats: Defense
| Metric | Nikola Jokić | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Block rateShare of opponents’ two-point attempts blocked while on court | 2.2% | 2.3% |
Scoring
Points per game describe scoring volume, not overall impact.
| Metric | Nikola Jokić | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 27.7 | 27.6 |
4 · Team context, not ranking inputs
What happened with and without them?
A verified with/without comparison is unavailable for this scope. We do not substitute another season’s observations.
Selected-season adjusted lineup estimates
These account for who played alongside and against each player. Positive defense means fewer points allowed. They are separate from the observed results and are not additional points added to the model calculation.
| Metric | Nikola Jokić | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted offensive impact | +5.07 | +3.90 |
| Adjusted defensive impact | +0.71 | +0.48 |
Four separate questions
Impact, winning, playoffs, and awards
These are different ways to understand a career. Only Regular Season Impact determines the hussEyquation verdict. The other three sections add basketball context without adding points or changing the rank.
Career to date. At least one player is active. Every total below stops after the latest completed season in this data; nothing is projected.
Regular Season Impact
Nikola Jokić has the higher model estimate for the 2025–26 season.
Nikola JokićMetricGiannis Antetokounmpo
+6.0LeadsSeason impactEstimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average+4.8
#1LeadsSeason impact rank#4
This is the ranking result. It uses regular-season impact only. Team records, playoffs, and awards do not change it.
Team Success
The advantages are split across the available measures.
Nikola JokićMetricGiannis Antetokounmpo
528Listed-team regular-season wins575Leads
59.8%LeadsListed-team winning percentage54.9%
5Leads50-win team seasons4
060-win team seasons1Leads
8Playoff team seasons10Leads
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.
Playoff Résumé
The advantages are split across the available measures.
Nikola JokićMetricGiannis Antetokounmpo
8Playoff appearances9Leads
100LeadsPlayoff games84
53LeadsTeam playoff wins47
1Finals appearances1
1Championships1
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team playoff results count only seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.
Awards
The advantages are split across the available measures.
Nikola JokićMetricGiannis Antetokounmpo
8All-Star10Leads
3LeadsMVP2
8All-NBA9Leads
0All-Defense5Leads
0DPOY1Leads
0Rookie of the Year0
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Major regular-season honors are recognition, not inputs to the impact ranking.
How each context field is counted
- Listed-team regular-season wins
- The sum of each listed team's final wins in every season the player represented that team.
- Listed-team winning percentage
- Those team wins divided by those teams' total regular-season games.
- 50- and 60-win team seasons
- Listed team-seasons that finished with at least 50 or 60 wins. Shortened seasons are not projected to 82 games.
- Team seasons reaching playoffs
- Listed team-seasons in which that team qualified for the playoffs.
- Playoff appearances and games
- Postseasons and games in which the player appeared.
- Team playoff wins
- Team wins from those postseasons. They describe team results, not individual credit.
- Finals appearances and championships
- Seasons when the player appeared in the playoffs for the finalist or champion.
- Awards
- Recorded NBA selections and major regular-season honors. A zero means the source records none; Not available means the source field is missing.
Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed 2026-10-09. Active-career totals are results to date through the latest completed season in the source.
Selected seasons
Era-centered impact
Both bars show the same NBA season. Missing or unqualified data does not establish a winner.
Nikola JokićGiannis Antetokounmpo
Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average
Striped bars mark seasons with fewer than 40 games. A dashed mark means that player had no season at the aligned point.