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Player profile · DAL / MIL / WAS

AJ Johnson

AJ Johnson advanced stats and career rankings

RoleSG · Age 21
Availability48 games · 0 starts
Workload9.5 MPG · 454 minutes
Relative impactDAL/WAS #3 of 3 · SG #109 of 109
UpdatedJul 21, 2026
EvidenceLimited

Low ranking precision · Likely rank #237–#395

Bottom line · 2025–26

In 2025–26, AJ Johnson ranked 395th in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 395th, with poor scoring efficiency limiting the result. Over nearly 500 minutes, he finished in the 6th percentile for total season value.

2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives AJ Johnson's impact

395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with

Overall value

Impact Rate
1
0.0
Season Value
6
-21.6

Scoring role

Usage
65
20.6%
True shooting
0
41.3%
3-point attempt rate
26
32.4%
Free-throw rate
43
22.7%

Creation and control

Assist rate
54
14.0%
Turnover avoidance
35
13.4%

Possession stats

Rebound rate
21
6.5%
Steal rate
15
1.1%
Block rate
13
0.6%

Workload

Minutes per game
1
9.5
Games played
21
48
Total minutes
1
454

Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.

Every season

AJ Johnson advanced stats by season

Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.

SeasonTeamAgeGPMPEra-centered box impactImpact RateRate rankSeason ValueValue percentileEvidence
2025–26live modelDAL/WAS2148454-7.830.0#395-21.66thLimited
2024–25MIL/WAS2029639-5.550.8#386-47.63rdEstablished

Career movement

AJ Johnson's career impact by season

Peak -5.55 in 2024–25 · 2 seasons · 1,093 minutes

The same historical box-score model is used for every season, making the career shape comparable through time. This is separate from the current lineup-context ranking.

Era-centered box impactMinutes
Across-era box estimateWorkload

Early-career comparison

Compare the first 2 seasons

Only the first 2 NBA seasons are compared, so this is a similarity of starts—not a prediction of the full career.

AJ JohnsonLarry Demic

NBA season number · fixed impact axis −5 to +15

Similar starts

Players with starts similar to AJ Johnson

The score compares the first 2 seasons by impact, workload, position, and trajectory. It does not claim the careers will finish alike.

Why this rank?

Why AJ Johnson ranks #395

The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.

01 · Box-score prior-2.22

Prior rank #395

02 · Multi-season RAPM-1.10

Current total -0.69 ±0.9
Split model · O -1.65 · D +0.53 = -1.12

03 · Bounded correction+0.00

Maximum ±0.75

04 · Model estimate-2.22

Before the within-season scale

05 · MPG-adjusted rate0.0

0.0 unadjusted · 80% role factor · rank #395

RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.

What the point estimate meansLow precision

The model's 80% impact interval is -4.55 to +0.06. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.

Top 25 chance
0%
Top 50 chance
0%
Top 100 chance
1%
80% rank range
#237#395
How to read this page

Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played. The career ranking rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →