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Player profile · OKC

Branden Carlson

Branden Carlson advanced stats and career rankings

RoleC · Age 26
Availability42 games · 4 starts
Workload11.6 MPG · 488 minutes
Relative impactOKC #11 of 13 · C #54 of 72
UpdatedJul 21, 2026
EvidenceEstablished

Low ranking precision · Likely rank #87–#350

Bottom line · 2025–26

In 2025–26, Branden Carlson ranked 219th in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 110th, led by elite ball security. After adjusting for teammates and opponents, his on-court impact was weaker than the box score indicated, lowering his overall rating. With only nearly 500 minutes, he finished in the 39th percentile for total season value.

2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives Branden Carlson's impact

395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with

Overall value

Impact Rate
45
34.5
Season Value
39
3.1

Scoring role

Usage
55
18.9%
True shooting
78
61.3%
3-point attempt rate
56
46.2%
Free-throw rate
18
14.0%

Creation and control

Assist rate
22
8.6%
Turnover avoidance
95
7.5%

Possession stats

Rebound rate
83
13.8%
Steal rate
3
0.8%
Block rate
95
5.4%

Lineup signal

Offensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
45
+0.00
Defensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
12
−1.70

Workload

Minutes per game
5
11.6
Games played
13
42
Total minutes
2
488

Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.

Every season

Branden Carlson advanced stats by season

Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.

SeasonTeamAgeGPMPEra-centered box impactImpact RateRate rankSeason ValueValue percentileEvidence
2025–26live modelOKC2642488+1.1234.5#2193.139thEstablished
2024–25OKC2532246-1.622.0Limited

Career movement

Branden Carlson's career impact by season

Peak +1.12 in 2025–26 · 2 seasons · 734 minutes

The same historical box-score model is used for every season, making the career shape comparable through time. This is separate from the current lineup-context ranking.

Era-centered box impactMinutes
Across-era box estimateWorkload

Early-career comparison

Compare the first 2 seasons

Only the first 2 NBA seasons are compared, so this is a similarity of starts—not a prediction of the full career.

Branden CarlsonAlex Sarr

NBA season number · fixed impact axis −5 to +15

Similar starts

Players with starts similar to Branden Carlson

The score compares the first 2 seasons by impact, workload, position, and trajectory. It does not claim the careers will finish alike.

Why this rank?

Why Branden Carlson ranks #219

The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.

01 · Box-score prior+1.05

Prior rank #110

02 · Multi-season RAPM-1.71

Current total -2.11 ±0.9
Split model · O +0.00 · D -1.70 = -1.69

03 · Bounded correction-0.72

Maximum ±0.75

04 · Model estimate+0.33

Before the within-season scale

05 · MPG-adjusted rate34.5

36.9 unadjusted · 80% role factor · rank #219

RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.

What the point estimate meansLow precision

The model's 80% impact interval is -1.94 to +2.63. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.

Top 25 chance
0%
Top 50 chance
1%
Top 100 chance
14%
80% rank range
#87#350
How to read this page

Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played. The career ranking rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →