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Player profile · WAS

Bub Carrington

Bub Carrington advanced stats and career rankings

RolePG · Age 20
Availability82 games · 48 starts
Workload27.7 MPG · 2,271 minutes
Relative impactWAS #11 of 11 · PG #67 of 70
UpdatedJul 21, 2026
EvidenceStrong

Low ranking precision · Likely rank #140–#385

Bottom line · 2025–26

In 2025–26, Bub Carrington ranked 377th in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 343rd, with costly turnovers limiting the result. After adjusting for teammates and opponents, his on-court defense was weaker than the box score indicated, lowering his overall rating. Over about 2,300 minutes, he finished in the 0th percentile for total season value.

2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives Bub Carrington's impact

395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with

Overall value

Impact Rate
5
2.9
Season Value
0
-56.6

Scoring role

Usage
45
18.0%
True shooting
33
55.6%
3-point attempt rate
76
55.9%
Free-throw rate
20
15.0%

Creation and control

Assist rate
82
23.0%
Turnover avoidance
3
19.5%

Possession stats

Rebound rate
21
6.5%
Steal rate
15
1.1%
Block rate
19
0.7%

Lineup signal

Offensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
10
−1.76
Defensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
1
−3.28

Workload

Minutes per game
69
27.7
Games played
98
82
Total minutes
90
2,271

Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.

Every season

Bub Carrington advanced stats by season

Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.

SeasonTeamAgeGPMPEra-centered box impactImpact RateRate rankSeason ValueValue percentileEvidence
2025–26live modelWAS20822,271-2.852.9#377-56.60thStrong
2024–25WAS19822,458-2.7612.1#342-39.35thStrong

Career movement

Bub Carrington's career impact by season

Peak -2.76 in 2024–25 · 2 seasons · 4,729 minutes

The same historical box-score model is used for every season, making the career shape comparable through time. This is separate from the current lineup-context ranking.

Era-centered box impactMinutes
Across-era box estimateWorkload

Early-career comparison

Compare the first 2 seasons

Only the first 2 NBA seasons are compared, so this is a similarity of starts—not a prediction of the full career.

Bub CarringtonJamal Shead

NBA season number · fixed impact axis −5 to +15

Similar starts

Players with starts similar to Bub Carrington

The score compares the first 2 seasons by impact, workload, position, and trajectory. It does not claim the careers will finish alike.

Why this rank?

Why Bub Carrington ranks #377

The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.

01 · Box-score prior-0.40

Prior rank #343

02 · Multi-season RAPM-5.42

Current total -5.26 ±0.9
Split model · O -1.76 · D -3.28 = -5.04

03 · Bounded correction-0.75

Maximum ±0.75

04 · Model estimate-1.15

Before the within-season scale

05 · MPG-adjusted rate2.9

2.9 unadjusted · 97% role factor · rank #377

RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.

What the point estimate meansLow precision

The model's 80% impact interval is -3.42 to +1.15. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.

Top 25 chance
1%
Top 50 chance
2%
Top 100 chance
5%
80% rank range
#140#385
How to read this page

Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played. The career ranking rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →