9.2 score · 84% MPG role factor
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Player profile · DAL / WAS
Jaden Hardy
Jaden Hardy advanced stats and career rankings
RoleSG · Age 23
Availability57 games · 4 starts
Workload15.8 MPG · 898 minutes
Relative impactDAL/WAS #1 of 1 · SG #85 of 109
UpdatedJul 21, 2026
-10.5 total value · 395 qualified players
250.3 all-time composite · 4 seasons
Low ranking precision · Likely rank #120–#375
Bottom line · 2025–26
In 2025–26, Jaden Hardy ranked 339th in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 353rd. Over about 900 minutes, he finished in the 15th percentile for total season value.
2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives Jaden Hardy's impact
395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with
Overall value
Impact Rate
14
9.2Season Value
15
-10.5Scoring role
Usage
82
24.4%True shooting
40
56.6%3-point attempt rate
85
61.1%Free-throw rate
28
17.5%Creation and control
Assist rate
31
9.7%Turnover avoidance
54
11.8%Possession stats
Rebound rate
5
5.1%Steal rate
3
0.8%Block rate
13
0.6%Lineup signal
Offensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
74
+1.09Defensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
33
−0.63Workload
Minutes per game
16
15.8Games played
39
57Total minutes
23
898Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.
Every season
Jaden Hardy advanced stats by season
Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.
| Season | Team | Age | GP | MP | Era-centered box impact | Impact Rate | Rate rank | Season Value | Value percentile | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26live model | DAL/WAS | 23 | 57 | 898 | -3.17 | 9.2 | #339 | -10.5 | 15th | Established |
| 2024–25 | DAL | 22 | 57 | 907 | -5.01 | 1.3 | #384 | -56.4 | 2nd | Established |
| 2023–24 | DAL | 21 | 73 | 989 | -4.33 | 2.7 | #361 | -48.0 | 2nd | Established |
| 2022–23 | DAL | 20 | 48 | 708 | -1.75 | 28.3 | #272 | 3.5 | 27th | Established |
Career movement
Jaden Hardy's career impact by season
Peak -1.75 in 2022–23 · 4 seasons · 3,502 minutes
The same historical box-score model is used for every season, making the career shape comparable through time. This is separate from the current lineup-context ranking.
Era-centered box impactMinutes
Across-era box estimateWorkload
Early-career comparison
Compare the first 4 seasons
Only the first 4 NBA seasons are compared, so this is a similarity of starts—not a prediction of the full career.
Jaden HardyDwayne Bacon
NBA season number · fixed impact axis −5 to +15
Similar starts
Players with starts similar to Jaden Hardy
The score compares the first 4 seasons by impact, workload, position, and trajectory. It does not claim the careers will finish alike.
SG · All-Time Career #3130
Dwayne Bacon
94%start match
92% season match · 2022–23 ↔ 2018–19SG · All-Time Career #2626Malaki Branham
93%start match
92% season match · 2022–23 ↔ 2024–25SG · All-Time Career #3096Jordan Hawkins
91%start match
89% season match · 2022–23 ↔ 2023–24PG · All-Time Career #2454Rod Foster
91%start match
85% season match · 2022–23 ↔ 1984–85PG · All-Time Career #2879Eric Maynor
90%start match
88% season match · 2022–23 ↔ 2009–10SG · All-Time Career #2860Patrick McCaw
90%start match
93% season match · 2022–23 ↔ 2016–17Why this rank?
Why Jaden Hardy ranks #339
The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.
Prior rank #353
Current total +0.54 ±1.0
Split model · O +1.09 · D -0.63 = +0.46
Maximum ±0.75
Before the within-season scale
9.2 unadjusted · 84% role factor · rank #339
RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.
What the point estimate meansLow precision
The model's 80% impact interval is -2.78 to +1.75. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.
- Top 25 chance
- 0%
- Top 50 chance
- 1%
- Top 100 chance
- 7%
- 80% rank range
- #120–#375
Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played. The career ranking rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →