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Player profile · CHI
Matas Buzelis
Matas Buzelis stats, teams and career impact
#2871 all-timeCareer averages · 12.4 PPG · 4.6 RPG · 1.5 APGPeak-weighted regular-season model · playoffs, awards, and championships excluded
- Position
- Power forward
- 2025–26 team
- Chicago Bulls
- Height / weight
- 6 ft 8 in (203 cm) · 209 lb (95 kg)
- Born
- October 13, 2004 (22 yrs old)
- NBA seasons
- 2 seasons · 2024–25 to 2025–26
Selected season2025–26 · CHI · 77 games · 2,248 minutes
- PPG
- 16.3
- RPG
- 5.8
- APG
- 2.1
- #227 of 395 77 games · 2,248 minutes
- 51st percentile
Impact Rate Rank
Season Value percentile
Career overview
Why Matas Buzelis currently ranks #2871 all time
Matas Buzelis ranks #2871 all time. Across his three best seasons, his average league finish was #306.3. His full-career value already ranks #1409 after 2 seasons, and his all-time position can still rise.
450+ minutes required per season
157 games · Career Value Rank #1409
Head to head
Compare Matas Buzelis with…
Suggested matchups from basketball rivalries, comparable roles, and similar careers. Two active players open in the latest published season; switch to Career to compare their full careers.
- Matas Buzelis vs. Willie Naulls Similar career path
- Matas Buzelis vs. Giannis Antetokounmpo Similar career path
- Matas Buzelis vs. Sean Elliott Similar career path
- Matas Buzelis vs. Glen Rice Similar career path
- Matas Buzelis vs. Juwan Howard Similar career path
- Matas Buzelis vs. Devin Vassell Similar career path
- Matas Buzelis vs. Kyshawn George Same-era comparison
- Matas Buzelis vs. Jaylen Clark Same-era comparison
- Matas Buzelis vs. Tristan Da Silva Same-era comparison
- Matas Buzelis vs. Pelle Larsson Same-era comparison
Full player detailsTeam history, career shooting and sources
Full team history
- Teams
- Chicago Bulls
Career shooting
NBA regular season- Field goal
- 46.0%FG%
- Three-point
- 35.3%3P%
- Free throw
- 79.5%FT%
157 career games · 3,759 minutes
Sources and updateConventional stats and measurements: Basketball Reference, accessed Sep 13, 2026. hussEyquation ranking data through 2025–26. Life dates: Wikidata; conflicting dates checked against Basketball Reference, accessed Sep 17, 2026.
Traditional box score
Matas Buzelis stats by season
Start with scoring and impact, then switch views for shooting or the full advanced picture. Career percentages use total makes and attempts.
Box impact is an estimate in points per 100 possessions, not the 0–100 Impact Rate score. Zero is league average; higher is better. Rate rank is a league place: No. 1 is best.
Swipe for PPG · RPG · APG · Box impact · Team · G · GS · MPG →
| pts/100 · higher is better | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 16.3 | 5.8 | 2.1 | +0.00 | CHI | 77 | 77 | 29.2 | 46.3% | 34.9% | 78.6% | #227 | 10.4 |
| 2024–25 | 8.6 | 3.5 | 1.0 | -1.82 | CHI | 80 | 31 | 18.9 | 45.4% | 36.1% | 81.5% | #299 | 5.8 |
| Career | 12.4 | 4.6 | 1.5 | — | CHI | 157 | — | 23.9 | 46.0% | 35.3% | 79.5% | — | — |
Source: Basketball Reference regular-season totals, accessed Sep 13, 2026.
RolePF · Age 21
Availability77 games · 77 starts
Workload29.2 MPG · 2,248 minutes
Relative impactCHI #4 of 6 · PF #43 of 76
UpdatedOct 6, 2026
What these measures mean
- Box impact
- Estimated points per 100 possessions above that season's league average, from the historical box-score model. Zero is league average; higher is better. Historical defense estimates are included where labeled. This is not the live model's lineup-adjusted estimate.
- Impact Rate
- A 0–100 score comparing performance within one season. Higher is better. This is a score, not points per possession.
- Impact estimate
- The season model's final estimated points per 100 possessions above league average, before conversion to the 0–100 Impact Rate score. It includes lineup evidence where available. Zero is league average; higher is better.
- Impact Rate rank
- The player's place among qualified players in that season's Impact Rate ranking. No. 1 is best. This is a rank, not an impact score.
- Value contribution / Season Value
- Completed seasons use a fixed-baseline contribution to Career Value. The live season instead uses Season Value, combining that season's impact with workload.
- Career Impact Rank
- An all-time rank weighted toward the player's best three, five, and ten seasons.
77 games · 2,248 minutes · 32.3 / 100 · higher score is better · No. 1 is the best rank
10.4 total value · 395 qualified players
Career Composite 328.9 · lower is better · 2 seasons
Ranking certainty: Wide, likely #54–#354
- Impact Rate
- 0–100 score within one season. Higher is better.
- Box impact
- Estimated points per 100 possessions above league average, from the historical model. Zero is average; higher is better.
- Impact estimate
- The live model's final estimate in points per 100 possessions, including lineup evidence. It can differ from box impact. Higher is better.
Bottom line · 2025–26
In 2025–26, Matas Buzelis ranked 227th in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 164th, led by elite shot blocking. After adjusting for teammates and opponents, his on-court impact was weaker than the box score indicated, lowering his overall rating. Playing about 2,200 minutes, he finished in the 51st percentile for total season value.
2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives Matas Buzelis's impact
395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with
Overall value
Impact Rate
0–100 score · higher is better
32.3 / 100Season Value
51
10.4Scoring role
Usage
75
22.8%True shooting
59
58.6%3-point attempt rate
68
51.4%Free-throw rate
53
24.7%Creation and control
Assist rate
34
10.3%Turnover avoidance
40
13.0%Possession stats
Rebound rate
64
10.6%Steal rate
15
1.1%Block rate
93
4.5%Lineup signal
Offensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
30
−0.53 pts/100Defensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
38
−0.43 pts/100Workload
Minutes per game
76
29.2Games played
89
77Total minutes
89
2,248A 0–100 score comparing performance within one season. Higher is better. This is a score, not points per possession. The other bars show percentiles in the selected comparison group. Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup figures are points per 100 possessions; higher is better. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.
Ranking editions
How the ranking changed
Both editions use the source snapshot dated Jul 14, 2026. These are model-version changes, not results from new games. Each edition keeps its original published numbers.
32.3 Impact Rate · 2,248 MP
Ranking edition: Jul 21, 2026
First snapshot32.3 Impact Rate · 2,248 MP
Ranking edition: Oct 6, 2026
No rank changeEvery season
Matas Buzelis advanced stats by season
Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.
Career movement
Matas Buzelis's box impact by season
Peak box impact +0.00 points per 100 possessions in 2025–26 · 2 seasons · 3,759 minutes
Box impact estimates points per 100 possessions above each season's league average. Zero is average; higher is better. Rank labels show Impact Rate league places, not ranks on this chart's box-impact scale.
Box impact · points per 100 possessionsMinutes
Player-specific impact scaleWorkload
Early-career comparison
Compare the first 2 seasons
Both players are limited to their first 2 seasons. Later seasons never affect the selection or score, and the result is not a career prediction.
Matas BuzelisWillie Naulls
| NBA season | Matas Buzelis | Willie Naulls |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -1.8 | -1.6 |
| 2 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
NBA season number · first 2 seasons only
Similar starts
Players with starts similar to Matas Buzelis
The start-similarity percentile compares era-relative impact, season-relative workload, trajectory, debut age, and role across exactly 2 seasons and 2,351 eligible starts. Higher means closer; it is not a probability or forecast.
SF · All-Time Career #149
Willie Naulls
99.9start similarity percentile
Impact: very closeWorkload: very closeTrend: very closeAge: closeRole: very close
Medium evidence · first 2 seasonsClosest early-season pairing · 2025–26 ↔ 1957–58SG · All-Time Career #14Giannis Antetokounmpo
99.9start similarity percentile
Impact: very closeWorkload: very closeTrend: very closeAge: very closeRole: close
High evidence · first 2 seasonsClosest early-season pairing · 2025–26 ↔ 2014–15SF · All-Time Career #1092Sean Elliott
99.9start similarity percentile
Impact: very closeWorkload: very closeTrend: very closeAge: very closeRole: very close
High evidence · first 2 seasonsClosest early-season pairing · 2025–26 ↔ 1990–91Why this rank?
Why Matas Buzelis ranks #227
The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.
Steps 1–4 use points per 100 possessions. Step 5 converts the final estimate to the 0–100 Impact Rate score. Higher is better on both scales; they are not the same number.
Prior rank #164
Current total -1.54 ±1.0
Split model · O -0.53 · D -0.43 = -0.96
Maximum ±1.25
Points per 100 possessions · higher is better
Higher is better · 32.4 before the MPG adjustment · rank #227
RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.
Ranking certaintyWide
The model's 80% impact interval is -2.04 to +2.49. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.
- Top 25 chance
- 4%
- Top 50 chance
- 9%
- Top 100 chance
- 21%
- 80% rank range
- #54–#354
Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played; completed player-profile rows instead show each season's fixed-baseline contribution to Career Value. Career Impact Rank rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →