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Player profile · DEN

Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson advanced stats and career rankings

RoleSF · Age 23
Availability54 games · 40 starts
Workload29.6 MPG · 1,598 minutes
Relative impactDEN #8 of 13 · SF #43 of 68
UpdatedJul 21, 2026
EvidenceEstablished

Low ranking precision · Likely rank #65–#361

Bottom line · 2025–26

In 2025–26, Peyton Watson ranked 264th in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 278th, led by elite shot blocking. Over about 1,600 minutes, he finished in the 32nd percentile for total season value.

2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives Peyton Watson's impact

395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with

Overall value

Impact Rate
33
24.5
Season Value
32
-0.6

Scoring role

Usage
65
20.6%
True shooting
64
59.4%
3-point attempt rate
28
33.9%
Free-throw rate
75
32.5%

Creation and control

Assist rate
31
9.7%
Turnover avoidance
47
12.3%

Possession stats

Rebound rate
54
9.3%
Steal rate
40
1.5%
Block rate
88
3.6%

Lineup signal

Offensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
95
+2.86
Defensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
18
−1.20

Workload

Minutes per game
77
29.6
Games played
32
54
Total minutes
63
1,598

Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.

Every season

Peyton Watson advanced stats by season

Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.

SeasonTeamAgeGPMPEra-centered box impactImpact RateRate rankSeason ValueValue percentileEvidence
2025–26live modelDEN23541,598-1.5624.5#264-0.632ndEstablished
2024–25DEN22681,656-1.6125.8#28913.329thStrong
2023–24DEN21801,488-1.8128.6#2655.730thStrong
2022–23DEN2023186-5.10-11.8Limited

Career movement

Peyton Watson's career impact by season

Peak -1.56 in 2025–26 · 4 seasons · 4,928 minutes

The same historical box-score model is used for every season, making the career shape comparable through time. This is separate from the current lineup-context ranking.

Era-centered box impactMinutes
Across-era box estimateWorkload

Early-career comparison

Compare the first 4 seasons

Only the first 4 NBA seasons are compared, so this is a similarity of starts—not a prediction of the full career.

Peyton WatsonBen Warley

NBA season number · fixed impact axis −5 to +15

Similar starts

Players with starts similar to Peyton Watson

The score compares the first 4 seasons by impact, workload, position, and trajectory. It does not claim the careers will finish alike.

Why this rank?

Why Peyton Watson ranks #264

The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.

01 · Box-score prior+0.07

Prior rank #278

02 · Multi-season RAPM-0.24

Current total +1.62 ±1.0
Split model · O +2.86 · D -1.20 = +1.66

03 · Bounded correction-0.06

Maximum ±0.75

04 · Model estimate+0.01

Before the within-season scale

05 · MPG-adjusted rate24.5

24.5 unadjusted · 100% role factor · rank #264

RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.

What the point estimate meansLow precision

The model's 80% impact interval is -2.27 to +2.23. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.

Top 25 chance
3%
Top 50 chance
7%
Top 100 chance
17%
80% rank range
#65#361
How to read this page

Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played. The career ranking rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →