hussEyquation
Explore rankings

Player profile · MEM / POR

Rayan Rupert

Rayan Rupert advanced stats and career rankings

RoleSG · Age 21
Availability64 games · 8 starts
Workload16.8 MPG · 1,072 minutes
Relative impactMEM/POR #1 of 1 · SG #105 of 109
UpdatedJul 21, 2026
EvidenceEstablished

Low ranking precision · Likely rank #185–#389

Bottom line · 2025–26

In 2025–26, Rayan Rupert ranked 388th in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 373rd, led by elite rebounding despite poor scoring efficiency. After adjusting for teammates and opponents, his on-court impact was weaker than the box score indicated, lowering his overall rating. Over about 1,100 minutes, he finished in the 2nd percentile for total season value.

2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives Rayan Rupert's impact

395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with

Overall value

Impact Rate
2
0.4
Season Value
2
-35.2

Scoring role

Usage
23
15.0%
True shooting
5
49.3%
3-point attempt rate
49
43.5%
Free-throw rate
27
17.3%

Creation and control

Assist rate
22
8.6%
Turnover avoidance
27
14.0%

Possession stats

Rebound rate
56
9.5%
Steal rate
90
2.4%
Block rate
24
0.8%

Lineup signal

Offensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
1
−3.78
Defensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
8
−1.93

Workload

Minutes per game
20
16.8
Games played
53
64
Total minutes
32
1,072

Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.

Every season

Rayan Rupert advanced stats by season

Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.

SeasonTeamAgeGPMPEra-centered box impactImpact RateRate rankSeason ValueValue percentileEvidence
2025–26live modelMEM/POR21641,072-3.890.4#388-35.22ndEstablished
2024–25POR2052460-4.901.5#383-27.48thEstablished
2023–24POR1939633-4.811.4#366-36.15thEstablished

Career movement

Rayan Rupert's career impact by season

Peak -3.89 in 2025–26 · 3 seasons · 2,165 minutes

The same historical box-score model is used for every season, making the career shape comparable through time. This is separate from the current lineup-context ranking.

Era-centered box impactMinutes
Across-era box estimateWorkload

Early-career comparison

Compare the first 3 seasons

Only the first 3 NBA seasons are compared, so this is a similarity of starts—not a prediction of the full career.

Rayan RupertJunior Harrington

NBA season number · fixed impact axis −5 to +15

Similar starts

Players with starts similar to Rayan Rupert

The score compares the first 3 seasons by impact, workload, position, and trajectory. It does not claim the careers will finish alike.

Why this rank?

Why Rayan Rupert ranks #388

The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.

01 · Box-score prior-0.78

Prior rank #373

02 · Multi-season RAPM-4.33

Current total -5.43 ±1.0
Split model · O -3.78 · D -1.93 = -5.72

03 · Bounded correction-0.75

Maximum ±0.75

04 · Model estimate-1.53

Before the within-season scale

05 · MPG-adjusted rate0.4

0.4 unadjusted · 85% role factor · rank #388

RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.

What the point estimate meansLow precision

The model's 80% impact interval is -3.78 to +0.74. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.

Top 25 chance
0%
Top 50 chance
0%
Top 100 chance
2%
80% rank range
#185#389
How to read this page

Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played. The career ranking rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →