hussEyquation
Explore rankings

Player profile · BOS

Illustrated portrait of NBA player Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum advanced stats and career rankings

RolePF · Age 27
Availability16 games · 16 starts
Workload32.6 MPG · 522 minutes
Relative impactBOS #1 of 10 · PF #2 of 76
UpdatedJul 21, 2026
EvidenceEstablished

Low ranking precision · Likely rank #8–#231

Bottom line · 2025–26

Jayson Tatum delivered an outstanding 2025–26 campaign, ranking 13th in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 26th, led by elite passing despite below-average scoring efficiency. After adjusting for teammates and opponents, his on-court impact was stronger than the box score indicated, lifting his overall rating. With only about 500 minutes, he finished in the 68th percentile for total season value.

2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives Jayson Tatum's impact

395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with

Overall value

Impact Rate
97
95.1
Season Value
68
23.1

Scoring role

Usage
95
30.0%
True shooting
24
54.1%
3-point attempt rate
64
49.8%
Free-throw rate
61
27.5%

Creation and control

Assist rate
86
25.1%
Turnover avoidance
67
10.8%

Possession stats

Rebound rate
91
16.8%
Steal rate
80
2.1%
Block rate
13
0.6%

Lineup signal

Offensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
78
+1.31
Defensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
67
+0.62

Workload

Minutes per game
90
32.6
Games played
0
16
Total minutes
5
522

Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.

Every season

Jayson Tatum advanced stats by season

Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.

SeasonTeamAgeGPMPEra-centered box impactImpact RateRate rankSeason ValueValue percentileEvidence
2025–26live modelBOS2716522+3.8095.1#1323.168thEstablished
2024–25BOS26722,624+4.5296.1#16341.198thStrong
2023–24BOS25742,645+3.6993.8#24304.996thStrong
2022–23BOS24742,732+5.0296.0#16393.498thStrong
2021–22BOS23762,731+3.8193.8#25319.697thStrong
2020–21BOS22642,290+3.6893.5#25266.495thStrong
2019–20Historical Defense EstimateBOS21662,265+3.9094.9#19276.997thStrong
2018–19Historical Defense EstimateBOS20792,455+0.3365.8#127118.677thStrong
2017–18Historical Defense EstimateBOS19802,443+1.2878.4#79160.586thStrong

Career movement

Jayson Tatum's career impact by season

Peak +5.02 in 2022–23 · 9 seasons · 20,707 minutes

The same historical box-score model is used for every season, making the career shape comparable through time. This is separate from the current lineup-context ranking.

Era-centered box impactMinutes
Across-era box estimateWorkload

Career comparison

Compare the shape, not the calendar

Align by NBA experience to compare season one with season one, or by age to compare players at the same stage of life.

Jayson TatumDonovan Mitchell

NBA season number · fixed impact axis −5 to +15

Similar career arcs

Players with careers similar to Jayson Tatum

The score compares era-centered box impact, peak, prime, workload, career length, position, and trajectory aligned by NBA experience. It describes career shape, not playing style or equal ability.

Why this rank?

Why Jayson Tatum ranks #13

The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.

01 · Box-score prior+2.03

Prior rank #26

02 · Multi-season RAPM+2.84

Current total +1.70 ±0.9
Split model · O +1.31 · D +0.62 = +1.92

03 · Bounded correction+0.24

Maximum ±0.75

04 · Model estimate+2.27

Before the within-season scale

05 · MPG-adjusted rate95.1

95.1 unadjusted · 100% role factor · rank #13

RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.

What the point estimate meansLow precision

The model's 80% impact interval is +0.00 to +4.55. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.

Top 25 chance
30%
Top 50 chance
45%
Top 100 chance
64%
80% rank range
#8#231
How to read this page

Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played. The career ranking rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →