99.6 score · 100% MPG role factor
Explore rankings
Player profile · LAC / OKC
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander advanced stats and career rankings
RolePG · Age 27
Availability68 games · 68 starts
Workload33.2 MPG · 2,259 minutes
Relative impactOKC #1 of 13 · PG #1 of 70
UpdatedJul 21, 2026
230.2 total value · 395 qualified players
17.0 all-time composite · 8 seasons
Medium ranking precision · Likely rank #1–#44
Bottom line · 2025–26
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander delivered an elite 2025–26 campaign, ranking 2nd in per-minute impact. His box-score profile ranked 3rd, led by high-volume, efficient scoring. After adjusting for teammates and opponents, his on-court impact was stronger than the box score indicated, lifting his overall rating. Over about 2,300 minutes, he finished in the 100th percentile for total season value.
2025–26 NBA percentile rankings: What drives Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's impact
395 qualified NBA playersEvery player in the comparison logged at least 450 minutes.
Compare with
Overall value
Impact Rate
100
99.6Season Value
100
230.2Scoring role
Usage
99
33.4%True shooting
95
66.5%3-point attempt rate
16
22.6%Free-throw rate
94
46.5%Creation and control
Assist rate
97
35.0%Turnover avoidance
88
8.7%Possession stats
Rebound rate
28
7.0%Steal rate
75
2.0%Block rate
73
2.3%Lineup signal
Offensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
99
+4.76Defensive lineup impact387-player lineup pool
93
+2.13Workload
Minutes per game
92
33.2Games played
65
68Total minutes
89
2,259Farther right means more of the named trait, not automatically better basketball. Turnover avoidance reverses turnover rate. Lineup rows exclude players below the 1,000-possession lineup-sample floor.
Every season
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander advanced stats by season
Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.
| Season | Team | Age | GP | MP | Era-centered box impact | Impact Rate | Rate rank | Season Value | Value percentile | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26live model | OKC | 27 | 68 | 2,259 | +9.74 | 99.6 | #2 | 230.2 | 100th | Strong |
| 2024–25 | OKC | 26 | 76 | 2,598 | +10.08 | 99.7 | #2 | 653.8 | 100th | Strong |
| 2023–24 | OKC | 25 | 75 | 2,553 | +8.17 | 98.9 | #5 | 539.6 | 99th | Strong |
| 2022–23 | OKC | 24 | 68 | 2,416 | +7.50 | 98.1 | #8 | 483.2 | 99th | Strong |
| 2021–22 | OKC | 23 | 56 | 1,942 | +5.03 | 97.1 | #12 | 280.4 | 96th | Strong |
| 2020–21 | OKC | 22 | 35 | 1,180 | +5.31 | 95.9 | #16 | 181.5 | 90th | Strong |
| 2019–20Historical Defense Estimate | OKC | 21 | 70 | 2,428 | +1.19 | 73.0 | #96 | 159.2 | 88th | Strong |
| 2018–19Historical Defense Estimate | LAC | 20 | 82 | 2,174 | -1.41 | 37.8 | #230 | 27.1 | 46th | Strong |
Career movement
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's career impact by season
Peak +10.08 in 2024–25 · 8 seasons · 17,550 minutes
The same historical box-score model is used for every season, making the career shape comparable through time. This is separate from the current lineup-context ranking.
Era-centered box impactMinutes
Across-era box estimateWorkload
Career comparison
Compare the shape, not the calendar
Align by NBA experience to compare season one with season one, or by age to compare players at the same stage of life.
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderLuka Dončić
NBA season number · fixed impact axis −5 to +15
Similar career arcs
Players with careers similar to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
The score compares era-centered box impact, peak, prime, workload, career length, position, and trajectory aligned by NBA experience. It describes career shape, not playing style or equal ability.
PG · All-Time Career #42
Luka Dončić
85%career match
95% season match · 2024–25 ↔ 2023–24SF · All-Time Career #6Larry Bird
79%career match
82% season match · 2024–25 ↔ 1984–85SF · All-Time Career #22Julius Erving
77%career match
80% season match · 2024–25 ↔ 1979–80SG · All-Time Career #30Tracy McGrady
76%career match
88% season match · 2024–25 ↔ 2002–03SF · All-Time Career #36Kawhi Leonard
76%career match
85% season match · 2024–25 ↔ 2016–17PF · All-Time Career #15Giannis Antetokounmpo
76%career match
81% season match · 2024–25 ↔ 2018–19Why this rank?
Why Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks #2
The current model starts with box production, checks it against multi-season lineup evidence, caps that correction, then accounts for how many minutes the player was trusted to play each game.
Prior rank #3
Current total +7.44 ±0.9
Split model · O +4.76 · D +2.13 = +6.89
Maximum ±0.75
Before the within-season scale
99.6 unadjusted · 100% role factor · rank #2
RAPM estimates lineup impact while controlling for the other nine players on the floor. The multi-season blend, current total model, and current offensive/defensive split are separate estimates, so they need not equal one another. hussEyquation uses the multi-season signal as a bounded correction, not as a standalone verdict.
What the point estimate meansMedium precision
The model's 80% impact interval is +2.69 to +7.15. Exact ordering is difficult when many players have overlapping estimates.
- Top 25 chance
- 83%
- Top 50 chance
- 91%
- Top 100 chance
- 97%
- 80% rank range
- #1–#44
Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played. The career ranking rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →