No. 2 + No. 3 + No. 4
- Average finish
- 3.0
- Weighted share
- 1.50
Player profile · SAS

Power forward · 1997–98 to 2015–16
Why: 5 top-five and 11 top-ten finishes show the strength of the career's best seasons.
Complete-career regular-season impact result.Regular season only. Playoffs, awards, and championships do not affect this ranking.
Strongest career window: No. 3.0 average league finish. Best 3 model window, including replacement slots where applicable; lower is better.
Selected season2004–05 · SAS · 66 games · 2,203 minutes
ContextThe model uses 19 qualifying seasons. It rewards the strongest three most, then asks whether that impact lasted across five and ten seasons.
Qualifying seasons and league finishesLower finishes are better.
No. 2 + No. 3 + No. 4
No. 2 + No. 3 + No. 4 + No. 4 + No. 5
No. 2 + No. 3 + No. 4 + No. 4 + No. 5 + No. 6 + No. 6 + No. 7 + No. 9 + No. 10
Weighted composite1.50 + 1.08 + 1.12 = 3.70
Lower scores rank higher. This score places Tim Duncan No. 27 in the official all-time order.
Career overview
Tim Duncan ranks #27 all time. 5 top-five finishes and 11 top-ten finishes give him a strong blend of peak and staying power. His full-career value ranks #15, so longevity is a major reason he lands this high.
Best league finish
11 top-ten finishes
1,392 games · Career Value Rank #15
NBA honors15× All-Star · 2× MVP · 15× All-NBA · 15× All-Defense · ROYContext only; honors are not model inputs.
Head to head
Suggested matchups from basketball rivalries, comparable roles, and similar careers. Compare career impact, peak seasons, and the numbers behind the result.
1,392 career games · 47,368 minutes
Sources and updateConventional stats and measurements: Basketball Reference, accessed Sep 13, 2026. hussEyquation ranking data through 2025–26. Life dates: Wikidata; conflicting dates checked against Basketball Reference, accessed Sep 17, 2026.
Traditional box score
Start with scoring and impact, then switch views for shooting or the full advanced picture. Career percentages use total makes and attempts.
HQ rank is the player’s place on that season’s Impact Rate leaderboard. Current-season ranks below 450 minutes are provisional.
Swipe for scoring, box impact and playing time →
| 2015–16 | #34 | 8.6 | 7.3 | 2.7 | +3.00 | SAS | 61 | 60 | 25.2 | 48.8% | 0.0% | 70.2% | #34 | 150.0 |
| 2014–15 | #10 | 13.9 | 9.1 | 3.0 | +5.77 | SAS | 77 | 77 | 28.9 | 51.2% | 28.6% | 74.0% | #10 | 338.2 |
| 2013–14 | #18 | 15.1 | 9.7 | 3.0 | +4.32 | SAS | 74 | 74 | 29.2 | 49.0% | 0.0% | 73.1% | #18 | 269.8 |
| 2012–13 | #5 | 17.8 | 9.9 | 2.7 | +6.45 | SAS | 69 | 69 | 30.1 | 50.2% | 28.6% | 81.7% | #5 | 344.5 |
| 2011–12 | #13 | 15.4 | 9.0 | 2.3 | +4.48 | SAS | 58 | 58 | 28.2 | 49.2% | 0.0% | 69.5% | #13 | 205.0 |
| 2010–11 | #10 | 13.4 | 8.9 | 2.7 | +4.94 | SAS | 76 | 76 | 28.4 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 71.6% | #10 | 287.8 |
| 2009–10 | #6 | 17.9 | 10.1 | 3.2 | +6.20 | SAS | 78 | 77 | 31.3 | 51.8% | 18.2% | 72.5% | #6 | 381.8 |
| 2008–09 | #7 | 19.3 | 10.7 | 3.5 | +5.86 | SAS | 75 | 75 | 33.7 | 50.4% | 0.0% | 69.2% | #7 | 365.6 |
| 2007–08 | #9 | 19.3 | 11.3 | 2.8 | +5.19 | SAS | 78 | 78 | 34.0 | 49.7% | 0.0% | 73.0% | #9 | 352.6 |
| 2006–07 | #4 | 20.0 | 10.6 | 3.4 | +7.38 | SAS | 80 | 80 | 34.1 | 54.6% | 11.1% | 63.7% | #4 | 478.5 |
| 2005–06 | #21 | 18.6 | 11.0 | 3.2 | +4.85 | SAS | 80 | 80 | 34.8 | 48.4% | 40.0% | 62.9% | #21 | 351.5 |
| 2004–05 | #4 | 20.3 | 11.1 | 2.7 | +7.56 | SAS | 66 | 66 | 33.4 | 49.6% | 33.3% | 67.0% | #4 | 390.1 |
| 2003–04 | #2 | 22.3 | 12.4 | 3.1 | +7.42 | SAS | 69 | 68 | 36.6 | 50.1% | 16.7% | 59.9% | #2 | 442.4 |
| 2002–03 | #6 | 23.3 | 12.9 | 3.9 | +7.70 | SAS | 81 | 81 | 39.3 | 51.3% | 27.3% | 71.0% | #6 | 578.7 |
| 2001–02 | #3 | 25.5 | 12.7 | 3.7 | +7.62 | SAS | 82 | 82 | 40.6 | 50.8% | 10.0% | 79.9% | #3 | 600.3 |
| 2000–01 | #14 | 22.2 | 12.2 | 3.0 | +5.15 | SAS | 82 | 82 | 38.7 | 49.9% | 25.9% | 61.8% | #14 | 423.6 |
| 1999–00 | #11 | 23.2 | 12.4 | 3.2 | +5.73 | SAS | 74 | 74 | 38.9 | 49.0% | 9.1% | 76.1% | #11 | 420.6 |
| 1998–99 | #13 | 21.7 | 11.4 | 2.4 | +4.92 | SAS | 50 | 50 | 39.3 | 49.5% | 14.3% | 69.0% | #13 | 250.7 |
| 1997–98 | #11 | 21.1 | 11.9 | 2.7 | +4.62 | SAS | 82 | 82 | 39.1 | 54.9% | 0.0% | 66.2% | #11 | 390.5 |
| Career | N/A | 19.0 | 10.8 | 3.0 | — | SAS | 1392 | — | 34.0 | 50.6% | 17.9% | 69.6% | — | — |
Source: Basketball Reference regular-season totals, accessed Sep 13, 2026. CSV downloads contain season rows only; a season played for multiple teams remains one combined row.
Film evidence
Watch the selected footage or film analysis, then use the season record and impact data to put what happened on the floor in context.
Duncan's positioning, rim protection and economical offense are easier to recognize on film than in a single headline statistic.
99.1 score · 100% MPG role factor
390.1 total value · 344 qualified players
Career Composite 3.7 · lower is better · 19 seasons
Recorded box inputs · 2,203 minutes · Includes bounded historical defense estimate
Bottom line · 2004–05
In 2004–05, Tim Duncan's era-centered impact was +7.56, ranking #4 among players with at least 450 minutes. The explicitly labeled Historical Defense Estimate contributed — before league centering. That season supplied a 97th-percentile contribution to Career Value across 2,203 minutes.
Career context
Context only. Not included in Career Impact Rank. Team results, playoff results, and awards help describe a career, but they do not add points to this ranking.
Final records for every listed team-season. A traded season can include more than one team.
Team playoff wins are counted only in seasons when the player appeared in a playoff game.
Regular-season honors are shown as recognition, not proof of model impact.
Source and scope Basketball Reference, NBA seasons 1950–51 through 2025–26, accessed Oct 9, 2026. NBA regular season and playoffs only.
Every season
Era-centered box impact supports comparisons through time. Impact Rate and its rank compare players only within that season.
Scroll for more columns
| 2015–16Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 39 | 61 | 1,536 | +3.00 | 90.9 | #34 | 150.0 | 85th | Historical evidence |
| 2014–15Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 38 | 77 | 2,227 | +5.77 | 97.6 | #10 | 338.2 | 97th | Historical evidence |
| 2013–14Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 37 | 74 | 2,158 | +4.32 | 95.1 | #18 | 269.8 | 94th | Historical evidence |
| 2012–13Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 36 | 69 | 2,078 | +6.45 | 98.9 | #5 | 344.5 | 98th | Historical evidence |
| 2011–12Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 35 | 58 | 1,634 | +4.48 | 96.5 | #13 | 205.0 | 92nd | Historical evidence |
| 2010–11Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 34 | 76 | 2,156 | +4.94 | 97.4 | #10 | 287.8 | 95th | Historical evidence |
| 2009–10Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 33 | 78 | 2,438 | +6.20 | 98.5 | #6 | 381.8 | 99th | Historical evidence |
| 2008–09Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 32 | 75 | 2,524 | +5.86 | 98.2 | #7 | 365.6 | 98th | Historical evidence |
| 2007–08Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 31 | 78 | 2,651 | +5.19 | 97.6 | #9 | 352.6 | 96th | Historical evidence |
| 2006–07Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 30 | 80 | 2,726 | +7.38 | 99.1 | #4 | 478.5 | 99th | Historical evidence |
| 2005–06Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 29 | 80 | 2,784 | +4.85 | 93.9 | #21 | 351.5 | 95th | Historical evidence |
| 2004–05Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 28 | 66 | 2,203 | +7.56 | 99.1 | #4 | 390.1 | 97th | Historical evidence |
| 2003–04Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 27 | 69 | 2,527 | +7.42 | 99.7 | #2 | 442.4 | 99th | Historical evidence |
| 2002–03Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 26 | 81 | 3,181 | +7.70 | 98.4 | #6 | 578.7 | 99th | Historical evidence |
| 2001–02Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 25 | 82 | 3,329 | +7.62 | 99.4 | #3 | 600.3 | 100th | Historical evidence |
| 2000–01Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 24 | 82 | 3,174 | +5.15 | 96.0 | #14 | 423.6 | 97th | Historical evidence |
| 1999–00Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 23 | 74 | 2,875 | +5.73 | 96.9 | #11 | 420.6 | 98th | Historical evidence |
| 1998–99Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 22 | 50 | 1,963 | +4.92 | 95.7 | #13 | 250.7 | 97th | Historical evidence |
| 1997–98Recorded box inputsIncludes bounded historical defense estimate | SAS | 21 | 82 | 3,204 | +4.62 | 96.8 | #11 | 390.5 | 98th | Historical evidence |
Why this rank?
The box-score inputs were recorded; defense includes a bounded historical estimate because possession-level lineup evidence is unavailable. The result is centered on that season's league. No possession-level lineup evidence is invented for older seasons.
Recorded box inputs
Contemporaneous Defensive Win Shares residual
Season mean —
Impact rank #4 · margin — SD
Career movement
Peak available box impact +7.70 points per 100 possessions in 2002–03
The line shows box impact, not league rank. It estimates points per 100 possessions above each season's league average. Zero is average; higher is better. Point labels show the box-impact values.
Career comparison
Align by NBA experience to compare season one with season one, or by age to compare players at the same stage of life.
| NBA season | Tim Duncan | Hakeem Olajuwon |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4.6 | 2.2 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 5.0 |
| 3 | 5.7 | 6.0 |
| 4 | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| 5 | 7.6 | 5.6 |
| 6 | 7.7 | 6.0 |
| 7 | 7.4 | 5.9 |
| 8 | 7.6 | 5.9 |
| 9 | 4.8 | 8.9 |
| 10 | 7.4 | 7.5 |
| 11 | 5.2 | 7.4 |
| 12 | 5.9 | 6.6 |
| 13 | 6.2 | 4.7 |
| 14 | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| 15 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| 16 | 6.4 | 0.8 |
| 17 | 4.3 | 2.9 |
| 18 | 5.8 | 0.3 |
| 19 | 3.0 | Did not play |
NBA season number
Follow the evidence
Move from the career verdict to the exact season record, a direct player comparison, or the full written argument.
Similar career arcs
The career-similarity score compares era-centered box impact, peak, prime, workload, career length, position, and experience-aligned trajectory. It describes career shape, not playing style, equal ability, or probability.
career similarity score
89/100 closest-season score · 2002–03 ↔ 1989–90PF · All-Time Career #31career similarity score
97/100 closest-season score · 2002–03 ↔ 2004–05SF · All-Time Career #35career similarity score
92/100 closest-season score · 2002–03 ↔ 1991–92Impact Rate shows how strong a player was compared with everyone else that season. Season Value adds how much he played; completed player-profile rows instead show each season's fixed-baseline contribution to Career Value. Career Impact Rank rewards a high peak, a long prime, and repeated seasons near the top. Older seasons use clearly labeled estimates where the NBA did not record today's full set of statistics. Read how every ranking works →